Fajardo,Puerto Rico's history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).

Years within or near core
1933ts,1938ts,1942ts,1947tsbr,1949tsbr,1956,1960br,1979-2ts,1981ts,1984ts,1989,1995br,1996br,1996br,1998,2000br,2004ts,2007subts,2011ts,2015tsbr,(2017-2 not in stats)
46 times in 145yrs end of 2016

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=23, 50.00% H=23, 50.00%

Longest gap between storms
18years 1960-1979

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 3.15 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(13h)once every 11.15 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when this area should be affected next
affected in 2017
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2017 Sept 20th Hurricane maria hits just south by 20 miles with 155mph winds while moving N.W causing heavy damage.

This areas hurricane past
1871 Aug 22nd a 115mph Hurricane passes approx 35 miles to the NE while moving WNW
1876 sept 13th a 110mph cane hits from the east reports of 19 killed but historians suspect the spanish government withheld death toll & damage info.Damage reported as tornado type damage.
1889 Sept 3rd 105mph from the S.E just east
1893 Aug 16th 115mph from the S.E
1894 Oct 13th 95mph from the SSE passing just east
1899 A severe hurricane on Aug 8th. Winds at approach from ESE at 140mph. 3,369 deaths reported in Puerto Rico. Closest approach to Fajardo was 31 miles to the South.
1916 Aug 22nd 90mph from the ESE
1928 Sept 13th,(San Felipe)just to SW from the ESE,160mph 312 killed in Puerto Rico. US president asking for help | Newspaper Article
1931 Sept 10th 90mph from the east
1932 sept 27th ,145mph (hurdat) from due east Newspaper article
1956 Aug 12th Hurricane Betsy hits from the S.E with 90mph winds
1989 Sept 18th, hurricane Hugo hits the N.E tip with 125mph winds causing heavy damage here,island of calebra hit very hard Newspaper article | weather map | video during storm
1998 Sept 21st, hurricane Georges hit direct with 115mph winds press 28.54 causing very heavy damage here,kills 12 in P.R & 2 billion dollars damage power un restored in parts of Fajardo for months.10 ft storm surge reported . Jim Leonard video from the area | av model error
2017 Hurricane Irma passes 31 miles to the north with 185mph winds on Sept 6th causing heavy damage while moving WNW.Three people dead as of 9/7 .
2017 Sept 20th Hurricane maria hits just south by 20 miles with 155mph winds while moving N.W causing heavy damage. power outages from space | Relief concert

Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports | Unisys hurricane database | Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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