Flagler Beach,Florida's history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.

Years within or near core
54 times 145yrs end of 2016

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=37, 69.23% H=17, 30.77%

Longest gap between storms
18years 1983-2000

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.69 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(13)once every 11.15 years state stats

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when this area should be affected next
hit in 2016

Last affected by
2016 ,Oct 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 27 miles with 120mph winds while moving NNW.

This areas hurricane past
1885 Aug 24th 90mph from the south just offshore
1893 115mph hurricane moving NNW just offshore on Aug 27th
1893 Oct 12th ,120mph from the south just offshore
1894 Sept 26th back door cat 1, 75mph from the SSW
1921 Oct 26th back door cat 1 90mph from the WSW
1925 Dec 1st 75mph from the SW
1928 Sept 17th 95mph from the SSE just inland
1960 sept 11th hurricane donna exits the coast from the SW with 110mph winds causing heavy damage here & south sustained winds here 57mph with gusts to 99mph more here
1964 Sept 9th 115mph just north from the east
1968 oct 9th hurricane gladys from the S.W with 80mph winds
1979 Sept 4th,David from the south with 95mph just off shore
2004 August 13th Hurricane Charley hits just south from the SW with 85mph winds. Numerous trees down all over county.Isolated structural damage with sun room destroyed at home on Florida park drive. City of Bunnell reports. Power outage near 50%,Isolated structural damage
2016 ,Oct 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 27 miles with 120mph winds while moving NNW. In many areas, the dune lines were cut back 30-40 ft, leaving vertical cliffs that were 12-16 ft high. Large rocks that were uncovered on the beach were forced backward 150 ft to highway A1A, and the highway was washed out in numerous locations up and down the Flagler County coastline (per NHC) Radar (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Best models | Matthew timeline | NHC final report

Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports | Unisys hurricane database | Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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