Current weather
Melbourne,Florida's history with tropical systems
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)
Melbourne most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 7th and september 13th
Years within or near core
1871-2,1872bdts, 1873bd,1876bd,1880,1885,1892tsbd,1893-2m,1894bdbr,1897bdts,1899brm,1903tsbr,1910bdtsbr,1915tsbr,1925xtropstbd,1926,1928,1928m,1933brm,1933br,1937tsbr,1939br,1945bdbrm,
1949m,1950bd,1951bdts,1953bdts,1956ts(hurdat),1960bdm,1960bdtsbr(hurdat),1964ts,1964bdbrm,1968bdts,1979,1981bdts,1983ts,1984tsbr,1985ts,1988bdts,1994tsbd,1995,1995ts,
1998bdtsbr,1999br,2001tsbdbr,2004,2004m,2005bdbr,2008bdts,2016bdtsbr,2016m,2017bdbr,2019br,2020tsbr,2022bdts,2022br
58 times in 152 yrs end of 2023





Names from list above
king,How,Hazel,Donna,Cleo,Isbell,Abby,David,Dennis,Barry,Isidore,Bob,Keith,Gordon,Erin,Jerry,Mitch,Irene,Gabrielle,Frances,Jeanne,Wilma,Fay,Colin,Matthew,Irma,Dorian,Eta,Ian,Nicole,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=27, 46.43% H=31, 53.57%
only 20.37% of all tropical systems affecting Melbourne are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
10 years 1969-1978

How often Melbourne gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.62 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(19h)once every 8 years state stats

Average years between major hurricane hits.(7)
once every 21.71 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
103 mph

Statistically when Melbourne should be affected next
before the end of 2025

Last affected by
2022 November 10th hurricane Nicole weakens to a tropical storm at closest approach 18 miles to the south..

Melbourne's hurricane past
1871 Aug 18th a 100mph hurricane passes by to the West while moving north
1871,a week later Aug 25th a 90mph cane comes ashore while heading NW
1873 Oct 7th a cat 1 hits from the SW with 90mph winds after hitting ft myers as a cat 3
1876 Oct 20th 90mph from the S.W reports of eye over the area still in dispute reported gusts from the east at 100mph sept 15th
1880 aug 29, 105mph winds from the east heavy flooding.
1885 Aug 24th, 90 mph just east from the south
1893 Aug 27th,120mph winds just east from the S.E Hit map
1893 Oct 12th,120mph just east while turning north from the ESE. Hit map
1926 July 28th 90mph from the SSE
1928 a 100mph hurricane just south from the S.E causes heavy damage aug 7th
1928 Sept 16th a hurricane with 130mph slams ashore 40 miles to south from the S.E.Newspaper article#1 | #2 | #3 | #4
1949 Aug 27th, 120mph from the S.E just south
1950 hurricane King 15 miles to west oct 18th with 75mph winds causes minor damage here. track
1960 Sept 11th Hurricane Donna hits well west of here with 115mph winds from the south. NHC Wallet
1979 Sept 3rd,hurricane David hits direct with 95mph winds press 28.75 minor damage from the south. NHC Wallet
1995 Aug 2nd hurricane erin hits with 85mph winds from the ESE 350,000 without power hits at low tide minor damage. Newspaper article
2004 Sept 5th, Hurricane Frances hits with 105mph winds. Many trees down,signs damaged power out for days a very large & slow moving hurricane,tree down at house on 810 cedar drive.fences down, damage to car.Cape canaveral Mercury redstone rocket tipped over.Newspaper headline | models 5 days out | USGS surge info
2004 Sept 26th, Hurricane Jeanne hits with 120mph winds just south by 45 miles,moderate damage to area, second hurricane in 22 days.Models 4 days before hitting | USGS surge info .
2016 Oct 7th,Hurricane Matthew passes just east with 120mph winds while moving NNW.In Brevard County, which was the portion of Florida closest to Matthew’s center, 11 homes were destroyed, 140 sustained major damage, 549 experienced minor damage, and 939 additional homes were adversely affected in some way (per NHC) radar courtesy of Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School | Matthew timeline | NHC final report | USGS surge info

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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