(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
Years
within 60
miles 1879ts,1880br,1886bdbr,1887ts,1895,1896,1898-2tsbr,1901-2tsbr,1903bdm,1904br,1910ts,1910br,1912m,1915m,1916,1917br,1918-2tsbr,1928ts,1931ts,1932ts,1933-2tsbr,1933, 1935m,1935tsbr,1938br,1939br,1942tsbr,1944bd,1948tsbr,1949ts,1950br,1951bdm,1980brm,1988bdm,2002ts,2004br,2004m,2007m,2008tsbd,2021bdts 44
times in 152yrs end of 2023
Names from list above King,Charlie,Allen,Gilbert,Isidore,Charley,Ivan,Dean,Gustav,Grace,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=21, 47.73% H=23, 52.27%
Longest gap between storms 28 years 1951-1980
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 3.45 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits in Negril.(hurricane force winds for a few hours) (13h)once every 11.69 years
Average years between major hurricane hits in Negril.(8) once every 19 years
Average MPH of hurricane hitsin Negril. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 113 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2025
Last affected
by 2021 Aug 17th Tropical storm Grace hits from the east with 55mph winds while moving NWN
This areas hurricane
past 1895 Aug 25th, 95mph just south from the ESE 1896 Sept 26th, 85mph just south from the ESE 1903 Aug 11th, 120mph from the ESE 1912 Nov 18th,press
965mb 115mph winds from the SSW very high tides kill 100,---20,000 homes destroyed in west Jamaica. 1915 Aug 13th,115mph from the ESE passes just north 1916 Aug 16th, 110mph from theESE 1933 october 29th,95mph winds from the south
press 29.00 10 killed. 1935 Sept 27th,115mph just west from the south 1944 Aug 20th, 90mph from the ESE 1951 hurricane Charlie 125mph (hurdat) aug 18th from the ESE 154 killed in jamaica,50,000 homeless. 1988 Sept 13th,hurricane Gilbert hits with 115mph winds while
moving west hits direct from the east causing very heavy damage killing 23 in
jamaica. newspaper article | satelite photo | av model error.
2004 ,sept 11th hit by Hurricane Ivan with 145mph winds moving just to the south from the ESE with Ivan having a wind field approx 85 miles out,heavy damage in this area. NHC report
2007 Aug 19th Hurricane Dean passes approx 35 to 40 miles to the south while moving west with 145mph winds. Most of the damage reported are to the roofs of several houses, which were hit by very heavy winds and fallen trees. There are also minor damage to some roadways across the parish and many were made impassable due to several fallen trees and poles. Two of the parish's major markets, Savanna-la-Mar and Grange Hill, were severely damaged by heavy winds. Hurricane warning show | Newspaper article