(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
within or near core 1871bdbr,1871tsbr,1871bdts,1874bdts,1877bdts,1878bdts,1879bdts,1880ts,1880bdtsbr,1880bdts,1882bdtsbr,1885,1885-2tsbdbr,1886bdts,1888bdtsbr,1888bd,1889tsbd,1893 bdtsbr,1893-2, 1894bd,1896bdbr,1898,1900tsbr,1906ts,1910tsbd,1914ts,1915ts,1916ts,1920tsbd,1921bdbr,1925bdbr,1926ts,1928,1930bdts,1932bdts,1934ts,1936ts,1937tsbr,1940ts,1944bdts,1945-2tsbd, 1947bdtsbr,1949bdtsbr,1950bdts,1950bdtsbr,1960bd,1964ts,1964,1968ts,1968bd,1974subtsbr,1979,1982subtsbd,1984ts,1984bdts,1985ts,2000bdtsbr,2001tsbdbr,2004bdbr,2004bdtsbr,2005 ts,2008ts,2012ts,2013bdtsbr,2016-2bdts,2016,(2017bdts not in stats) 70 in 145 years end of 2016
Names from list
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=53, 75.71% H=17, 24.29%
Longest gap between storms 14 years 1986-1999
How often Saint Augustine gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.07 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours) (11h)once every 13.18 years state stats
Statistically when Saint Augustine should be affected
next affected in 2017
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 102 mph
Last affected by 2017 Sept 11th, TS Irma passes to west by 86 miles with 65mph winds while moving north.
This areas hurricane
past 1885 Aug 24th just offshore while moving north with 95mph winds. 1888 Oct 11th,85mph just north from the S.W 1893 August 27th a major hurricane moves by just offshore by 40 miles. 120 plus mph while moving NNW. 1893 Oct 12th, 120mph just offshore from the S.E 1894 sept 26th,75mph from the SSW 1898 Oct 2nd, 130mph to the north from the ESE 1928 Sept 17th,90mph from the south 1960 Hurricane Donna hits just south from the S.W with 105mph winds Sept 11th 1964 Dora sept 10th hits here with 115mph winds from the east press 28.52 hurricane force winds here for 15 hours.12 ft storm surge 3 killed 200 million dollars damage . Observations 125mph S.W windsNewspaper headline 1968 oct 19th hurricane Gladys from the SW with 80mph winds
1979 Sept 4th Hurricane David passes just east with 95mph winds from the south
2016 ,Oct 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 30 miles with 115mph winds while moving north.Radar (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Matthew timeline Best models
Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............