Saint John,Virgin Island's history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named,not every stat on every storm description is given.

Years within or near core
2017brm,(2019br,2019ts not in stats)
53 times in 147yrs end of 2018

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=26, 49.06% H=27, 50.94%

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.77 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 40 miles to include small hurricanes)
once every 7.35years (20h)

Average years between major hurricane hits.(9)
once every 16.33 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when this area should be affected next
impacted in 2019
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2019 ,Sept 24th tropical storm Karen hits with 45mph winds while moving north.

This areas hurricane past
1871 aug 21st a hurricane with 115mph winds from the ESE 27 killed in the virgin islands. Hit map
1876 sept 13th a major hurricane with 115mph hits from the east. Hit map
1889 Sept 3rd, 105mph from the S.E
1891 aug 19th 95mph
1893 Aug 16th 115mph approx 40 miles to South Moving WNW.Hit map
1899 August 8th, 145mph just south by 53 miles hurricane force wind field over isl for several hours.
1910 sept6th 95mph
1916 aug 22nd 90mph just north
1916 Oct 10th,110mph from the south
1922 Sept 16th,120mph 43 miles to north
1928 sept 13th a cat 5 ,50miles south with 160mph winds causes heavy damage here.US president asking for help
1932 sept 27th 105mph winds
1960 sept 5th,Hurricane Donna passes just north by 30 miles with 130mph winds.more here
1989 Hurricane Hugo passes just south by 33 miles with 135mph winds on Sept 18th,moving N.W. NHC wallet
1995 hurricane Marilyn sept 16th hits with 110mph winds press 28.23 heavy damage. Disaster survey report
1996 hurricane Bertha july 8th,85mph winds press 29.03 causes minor damage & knocks some trees down. NHC report
1998 hurricane Georges hits just south with 110mph winds on Sept 21st causing minor damage to the island.NHC report
1999 Hurricane Jose weakens to a tropical storm while passing over with 75mph winds on Oct 21st. NHC report
2000 Aug 22nd Hurricane Debby brushes just north with 75mph winds causing minor damage. NHC report
2017 Hurricane Irma eye passes directly over with 185mph winds on Sept 6th causing very heavy destruction. Relief concert | Best track data | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | NHC report

Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research (calculations) Jim Williams.....
See what cities get affected most by tropical systems | Home | Links | Live Broadcast page | Back to city Database