(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
within or near core 1871m,1872ts,1876,1878ts,1881ts,1889,1889ts,1891tsbr,1893br,1898,1898ts,1899brm,1899m,1900tsbr,1901ts,1906,1908,1908tsbr,1910br,1916,1922m,1924,1928brm,1931,1932m, 1933-2ts,1938ts,1943ts,1947ts,1949tsbr,1950tsbr,1950m,1953ts,1960m,1966,1979-2ts,1989brm,1990tsbr,1995br,1995m,1996,1998,1999,1999m,2000,2008brm,2010,2011-2ts, 2014,2017m,2017-2brm 55
times in 147yrs end of 2018
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=22, 40.00% H=33, 60.00%
Longest gap between storms 12 years 1966-1979
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.67 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits. once every 6.13 years (24h)
Average years between major hurricane hits.(9) once every 16.33 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 108 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2020
This is just a statistical average & does
not mean the area will be affected by that year
Last affected by 2017 Sept 19th Hurricane Maria brushes 93 miles to the south while moving N.W with 160mph winds at closest approach.
This areas hurricane past 1871 August 21st a Hurricane hits with 115mph winds while moving WNW 1876 Sept 12th, 110mph from the east 1889 sept 3rd 95mph from the ESE just south. 1898 sept 12, 110mph winds from the south. 1899 Sept 8th, 115mph from the ESE just north 1906 Sept 2nd, 105mph from the S.E 1908 March 7th, 95mph from the NNE passes just east 1916 Aug 21st, 85mph from the ESE 1922 sept 16th 115mph (hurdat) from the S.E 1924 aug 28th 80mph from the ESE 1931 Sept 10th,80mph from the east 1932 sept 26th 115mph from the east 1950 Hurricane Dog Sept 1st,125mph from the S.E 1960 hurricane Donna sept 5th winds 150mph from the ESE, 7 killed very heavy damage on the island. 1966 aug 26th hurricane Faith hits with 90mph winds from the ESE 1995 hurricane Luis sept 5th ,125mph winds badly hit the area leaving 1,000
homeless 14 killed gusts to 140mph winds press 27.61.av model error 1996 hurricane Bertha hits
with 80mph winds July 8th from the ESE causing some roof damage press 29.08 city of Grand case lost
most buildings on NE corner of island 1998 Sept 21st Hurricane Georges to the south with 110mph winds from the ESE
1999 oct 21st hurricane Jose hits with 95mph winds from the S.E press 29.23 minor damage reported due to the fact that jose was in a weakening mode many trees down minor roof damage. Preliminary report NHC 1999 Nov 18th Hurricane Lenny pounds the island with 130mph winds from the WSW as Lenny sat over the island in a weakening mode for 24 hrs before moving on.South facing beaches took a beating.13 killed here & now insurers on the island are either cancelling policies & drastically raising rates due to 5 hurricanes in 7 years.Tourism is pretty much shut down for the winter on the island as a result of hurricane Lenny. Damage reports from storm carib |Preliminary report NHC 2000 Aug 22nd Hurricane Debby hits with 75mph winds from the ESE causing minor damage here .
2010 Hurricane earl hits just north with 110mph winds Aug 30th from the ESE.While heavy seas and seaweed were blamed as major factors in the disruption of electricity generation as a result of the passing of the storm, tons of seaweed washed ashore by the storm were also in evidence on the Great Bay beach promenade and at Captain Hodge Wharf. Several trucks were used Thursday to cart away the seaweed and other debris.Radar animation
2014 Hurricane Gonzalo hits with 85mph winds from the ESE on Oct 13th. 1 killed 87 yr old man riding out hurricane in a boat.37 boats destroyed but over minor damage to infrustructure. The island reported 5.70 inches of rain 994.1mb.Position when hit | NHC final report (pdf)
2017 Hurricane Irma eye passes directly over with 185mph winds on Sept 6th causing very heavy destruction.95% destroyed”, according to Daniel Gibb, a local official, who called it “an enormous catastrophe”: 4 killed 50 injured as of 9/7 .Before & after photos | Best track data | our live coverage
Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....