Saint Thomas,Virgin Island's history with tropical systems
Current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named, not every stat on every storm description is given.

Years within or near core
1938ts,1942ts,1947ts,1949-2tsbr,1956br,1960m,1966br,1979-2ts,1981ts,1984ts,1989m,1990ts,1995brm,1995,1996,1998,1999,1999brm,2000,2010brm,2011ts,2017m,2017brm,(2019,2019ts not in stats)
51 times in 147yrs end of 2018

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=23, 45.10% H=28, 54.90%

Longest gap between storms
12 years 1967-1978

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.88 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(19h)once every 7.73 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(8)
once every 18.38 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
118 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
impacted in 2019
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2019 ,Sept 24th tropical storm Karen hits with 45mph winds while moving north.

This areas hurricane past

1871 Aug 21st,115mph from the ESE, 27 killed in the virgin islands. Hit map
1876 sept 13th, 115mph hits from the east. Hit map
1889 Sept 3rd,105mph winds from the S.E
1893 aug 16th 115mph to the south from the S.E Hit map
1894 Oct 13th,95mph from the SSE
1899 Aug 8th,150mph to the south from the ESE
1916 aug 21st 95mph from the ESE
1916 Oct 10th,110mph from the south
1928 sept 13th a cat 5, 160mph just south from the ESE heavy damage. US president asking for help
1931 Sept 10th, 90mph from the east
1932 sept 26th 110mph from the east.
1960 Hurricane Donna passes just North with 130mph winds killing 107 in the northern Antilles and puerto rico.Sept 5th, from the ESEmore here
1989 Sept 18th,hurricane Hugo to the south with 130mph winds from the S.E but damaged hotels on the south shore,the virgin isle,watergate & island beachcomber were hit hard. NHC wallet
1995 hurricane Marilyn hits sept 16th with 105mph winds from the S.E causing heavy damage 40% homes destroyed & 80% of businesses were destroyed,press 28.35. 1 year later only 2,700 out of 4,000 rooms were available. Newspaper article |av model error | Disaster survey report
1996 hurricane Bertha on july 8th with 85mph winds from the ESE. 1 school collapsed some roof damage from 85mph winds press 29.03 NHC report
1998 Sept 21st,hurricane Georges with 110mph winds just south from the ESE causes 55 boats to sink in the virgin islands & causes wide spread power outages. NHC report
1999 Hurricane Jose weakens to a tropical storm while hitting with 75mph winds from the S.E Oct 21stNHC report
2000 Aug 22nd,Hurricane Debby brushes just north with 75mph winds causing minor damage. NHC report
2017 Hurricane Irma southern eye wall passes directly over with 185mph winds on Sept 6th causing very heavy destruction while moving WNW.Three people dead as of 9/7 There were reports of extensive damage to buildings, and of land entirely stripped of vegetation. Many roads are inaccessible in the USVI, and schools are reported to be destroyed. Relief concert | Best track data | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | NHC report
2019 August 28th Hurricane Dorian develops over the island with 75mph winds while moving N.W. Radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)

Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research (calculations) Jim many more.............
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