Aruba, Bonaire & Curacao's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

ABC Islands most likely to be hit by a hurricane between September 28th and October 4th

Years within or near core

1876br
1877
1886
1887ts
1887br
1892
1918tsbr
1932
1933ts
1954brm
1955tsbr
1961br
1963brm
1971ts
1974ts
1978ts
1988ts
1993ts
1996ts
2004brm
2005brm
2007br
2016br

23 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above

Hazel
Janet
Anna
Flora
Edith
Alma
Greta
Joan
Bret
Cesar
Ivan
Emily
Felix
Matthew

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 10, 45.45%
H = 12, 54.55%

only 18.18% of all tropical systems in ABC Islands are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms

25 years 1892-1918

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 6.65 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.

Once every 38.25 years. (4 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

No data (0 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

98 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

1 year overdue

Last affected by

2016 Hurricane Matthew gains strength September 30th while 80 miles North of Aruba while moving west-southwest with 110 mph winds.

This area's hurricane history

1877 September 23rd 105 mph from the east-northeast. Hit map
1886 95 mph August 26th from the east. Hit map
1892 October 8th 95 mph from the east. Hit map
1932 November 3rd 95 mph from the northeast, HURDAT lists this as a category 2 hurricane at 12.9N 71.3W at 12 UTC just north of Aruba. Hit map

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......