Aruba,Bonaire & Curacao Islands history with tropical systems
current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named, not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
ABC Islands most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 28th and  October 4th


Years within or near core
1876br,1877,1886,1887ts,1887br,1892,1918tsbr,1932,1933ts,1954brm,1955tsbr,1961br,1963brm,1971ts,1974ts,1978ts,1988ts,1993ts,1996ts,2004brm,2005brm,2007br,2016br,
23 times in 152yrs end of 2023






Names from list above
Hazel,Janet,Anna,Flora,Edith,Alma,Greta,Joan,Bret,Cesar,Ivan,Emily,Felix,Matthew,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=10, 45.45% H=12, 54.55%
only 18.18% of all tropical systems in ABC Islands are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms
25 years 1892-1918

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 6.61 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(4)
once every 37.75 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(0)
not enough data

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
98 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
due in 2024

Last affected by
2016 Hurricane Matthew gains strength Sept 30th while 80 miles North of Aruba while moving WSW with 110mph winds. .

This areas hurricane past
1877 Sept 23rd 105mph from the ENE hit map
1886 95 mph Aug 26th from the East.hit map
1892 oct 8th 95mph from the east.hit map
1932 Nov 3rd 95mph from the NE,HURDAT lists this as a Category 2 hurricane at 12.9N, 71.3W at 12 UTC just north of Aruba. hit map


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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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