Antigua's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
Antigua most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and  September 6th
Years within or near core
61 times in 152yrs end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=27, 43.33% H=34, 55.00%
only 23.21% of all tropical systems in Antigua are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms
16 years 1934-1949

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.49 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(24)
once every 6.33years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(10)
once every 15.20 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of 2026

Last affected by
2023 Oct 21st Hurricane Tammy brushes just east with 85mph winds while moving NNW.

This areas hurricane past
1871 aug 21st a hurricane hits with 115mph winds moving WNW. Hit map
1889 Sept 2nd, 85mph from the S.E just south
1899 Aug 7th, 150mph from the ESE just south. Hit map
1899 Aug 30th, 80mph from the East
1906 Sept 1st, 105mph from the S.E just north
1909 Aug 21,85mph from the ESE just south
1910 sept 6th 80mph from the east
1915, Aug 10th,90mph from the east just south
1922 Sept 15th,90mph from the S.E just north
1924 Aug 28th 110mph from the S.E
1928 Sept 12th,130mph just south from the ESE
1932 Sept 26th A major hurricane passes 50 miles to north while moving west with 120mph winds.
1950 Aug 22nd, 95mph from the east just south hurricane Baker
1950,sept 1st hurricane dog 145mph winds(hurdat)from the S.E just east, 8 ft storm surge reported.
1960 Hurricane Donna hits Sept 5th with 155mph winds from the ESE causing a 5 ft storm surge drowning 107 people in the northern Antilles,majority killed in Puerto Rico. NHC Wallet
1966 Sept 27th, 125mph winds Hurricane Izez passes to the south from the east. NHC Wallet
1989 Sept 17th, Hurricane Hugo passes to the south with 145mph winds while moving WNW. NHC Wallet
1990 hurricane klaus oct 5th hit just north as a cat 1 75mph from the S.E near Barbuda. NHC Wallet
1995 hurricane luis hits sept 5th with 140mph winds press 27.88 from the east,4 hotels washed into the sea hospitals & homes destroyed. NHC Report
1996 July 8th, hurricane Bertha passes to north with 80mph winds from the ESE causing some minor roof damage. NHC Report
1998 hurricane Georges sept 21st passes nearby with 110mph winds from the ESE causing moderate to heavy damage here ,2 deaths,Flooding along south coast towns,Caused Island wide power outage. Hundreds of roofs ripped off. NHC Report
1999 oct 20th hurricane Jose hits direct with 100mph winds.Many homes damaged unconfirmed reports well over 100mph winds press 29.05 moving N.W @ 12mph.Sustained near 80mph. NHC Report
2014 Oct 13th Gonzalo become s ahurricane while passing over the island with 75mph winds.A one minute sustained wind of 67kts with a gust to 78kt /992.2mb was observed at Bird International Airport. radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC final report
2017 Hurricane Irma passes 35 miles to the north with 185mph winds on Sept 6th. Moderate damage reported here as the eye wall passed just north neighboring Barbuda devestated. Best track data | radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Damage from Barbuda to north | our live coverage

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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