Antigua's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Antigua most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and September 6th

Years within or near core

1871m
1872ts
1876br
1878tsbr
1881tsbr
1888ts
1889
1889ts
1893br
1896-2ts
1898tsbr
1899m
1899
1899brm
1900ts
1901ts
1906
1909
1910
1915
1922
1924
1928m
1930br
1931tsbr
1932m
1933-2ts
1950
1950m
1956br
1959ts
1960m
1963ts
1964brm
1966br
1966m
1979ts
1989m
1990
1995ts
1995m
1996
1998
1999
1999ts
2000ts
2009tsbr
2010br
2011-2ts
2014
2015ts
2017m
2017brm
2018tsbr
2020ts
2021ts
2022ts
2023ts
2023br
2024ts

62 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above (E and I storms most likely to impact the area)

Baker
Dog
Betsy
Edith
Donna
Helena
Cleo
Inez
Faith
Frederic
Hugo
Klaus
Iris
Luis
Marilyn
Bertha
Georges
Jose
Lenny
Debby
Erika
Earl
Irene
Maria
Gonzalo
Erika
Irma
Maria
Isaac
Laura
Grace
Fiona
Philippe
Tammy
Ernesto

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 28, 45.16%
H = 34, 54.84%

only 23.21% of all tropical systems in Antigua are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms

16 years 1934-1949

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 2.47 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.

Once every 6.38 years. (24 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

Once every 15.30 years. (10 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

111 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Before the end of 2027

This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year.

Last affected by

2024 August 13th Tropical Storm Ernesto passes just south by 29 miles with 50 mph winds while moving west-northwest.

This area's hurricane history

1871 August 21st a hurricane hits with 115 mph winds moving west-northwest. Hit map
1889 September 2nd, 85 mph from the southeast just south.
1899 August 7th, 150 mph from the east-southeast just south. Hit map
1899 August 30th, 80 mph from the east.
1906 September 1st, 105 mph from the southeast just north.
1909 August 21, 85 mph from the east-southeast just south.
1910 September 6th 80 mph from the east.
1915, August 10th, 90 mph from the east just south.
1922 September 15th, 90 mph from the southeast just north.
1924 August 28th 110 mph from the southeast.
1928 September 12th, 130 mph just south from the east-southeast.
1932 September 26th a major hurricane passes 50 miles to north while moving west with 120 mph winds.
1950 August 22nd, 95 mph from the east just south Hurricane Baker.
1950, September 1st Hurricane Dog 145 mph winds (HURDAT) from the southeast just east, 8 foot storm surge reported.
1960 Hurricane Donna hits September 5th with 155 mph winds from the east-southeast causing a 5 foot storm surge drowning 107 people in the northern Antilles, majority killed in Puerto Rico. NHC Wallet
1966 September 27th, 125 mph winds Hurricane Inez passes to the south from the east. NHC Wallet
1989 September 17th, Hurricane Hugo passes to the south with 145 mph winds while moving west-northwest. NHC Wallet
1990 Hurricane Klaus October 5th hit just north as a category 1 75 mph from the southeast near Barbuda. NHC Wallet
1995 Hurricane Luis hits September 5th with 140 mph winds pressure 27.88 inHg from the east, 4 hotels washed into the sea hospitals & homes destroyed. NHC Report
1996 July 8th, Hurricane Bertha passes to north with 80 mph winds from the east-southeast causing some minor roof damage. NHC Report
1998 Hurricane Georges September 21st passes nearby with 110 mph winds from the east-southeast causing moderate to heavy damage here, 2 deaths, Flooding along south coast towns, Caused Island wide power outage. Hundreds of roofs ripped off. NHC Report
1999 October 20th Hurricane Jose hits direct with 100 mph winds. Many homes damaged unconfirmed reports well over 100 mph winds pressure 29.05 inHg moving northwest at 12 mph. Sustained near 80 mph. NHC Report
2014 October 13th Gonzalo becomes a hurricane while passing over the island with 75 mph winds. A one minute sustained wind of 67 knots with a gust to 78 knots / 992.2 mb was observed at Bird International Airport. Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC final report
2017 Hurricane Irma passes 35 miles to the north with 185 mph winds on September 6th. Moderate damage reported here as the eye wall passed just north neighboring Barbuda devastated. Best track data | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Damage from Barbuda to north | Our live coverage

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......