Baracoa Cuba's history with tropical systems
Current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.
Baracoa most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 21st and september 27th
Years within or near core
41 times in 152yrs end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=22, 53.66% H=19, 46.34%
only 12.5% of all tropical systems in baracoa are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms
14 years 1979-1994

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 3.71 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 60 miles to include small hurricanes)
(13h)once every 11.69 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(3)
once every 50.67 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Last affected by
2020 Aug 23rd TS Laura passes just south with 55mph winds while moving WNW.

This areas hurricane past
1873 Sept 28th,105mph from the SSE passes just south while turning west.
1876 Sept 14th,80mph from the ESE
1878 sept 5th a cat 1,80mph hits while moving WNW ,hundreds drowned.
1884 Oct 9th just west from the south with 80mph winds
1908 Sept 29th, 85mph from the SSE
1909 Aug 23rd,85mph from the ESE
1955 sept 13th,Hurricane Hilda hits from the east with 80mph winds
1963 hurricane Flora Oct 4th, 120mph moved slowly over the area over 50 inches of rain fell kills 1,000 in cuba oct 8th sugar crops destroyed Newspaper article
1966 sept 30th hurricane Inez hits with sustained winds near 135mph 6 to 10 ft storm surge. 138mph reported at shore as rapid intensification happen between Haiti & Cuba. 5 Killed in Cuba & 30 injured. NHC Wallet
1998 Sept 23rd hurricane Georges passes to south with 75mph winds dumping heavy rain, 4 killed 20,000 left homeless crops badly damaged. NHC report
2008,Sept 8th Hurricane Ike hits with 105mph winds from the east.In Baracoa, resident William Montoya Sanchez, 39, said low-lying areas of the city were unrecognizable after Ike's passage, with roofs torn from homes and trees uprooted from the ground. State media said at least 200 homes were damaged beyond repair as the storm-surge pounded Baracoa's seawall and rose as high as nearby five-story buildings, sending people scrambling away from the seaside. Authorities said La Farola road, which connects Baracoa with the provincial capital in Guantanamo, was closed due to mudslides. Gusts reported to 86mph,Damage photo | photo of surge | Ike model history | Ike aftermath from Baracoa
2010 Nov 5th Hurricane Tomas passes just east with 80mph winds while moving NNE causes a minor surge. Tomas model history
2016 Oct 4th,Hurricane Matthew hits with 130mph winds while moving north causing heavy damage but no deaths. In the city of Baracoa, which was traversed by Matthew’s western eyewall, widespread structural damage to homes and other buildings resulted from the category 3 winds and storm surge. In Baracoa, 90% of the homes there were damaged or completely destroyed.Media reports from Baracoa also indicate that hundreds of homes were damaged or destroyed by the storm surge flooding, including more than 30 houses washed away, and that the coastal highway on the south side of the city was completely eroded and made impassable in large stretches(per NHC) Radar Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School | Matthew timeline | Hit map | NHC final report

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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