Cancun,Mexico's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)
Cancun most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and September 6th
Years within or near core
55 times in 152yrs end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=23, 41.82% H=32, 58.18%
only 20.37% of all tropical systems affecting Cancun are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms
9 years 1952-1960

How often Cancun gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.76 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits in Cancun.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(22h)once every 6.91 years
Average years between direct major hurricane hits in Cancun.(major hurricane at adv upon passage)
(7)once every 21.71 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when Cancun,Mexico should be affected next
before the end of 2024

Last affected by
LAST AFFECTED 2021 hurricane Grace passes 73 miles to the south with 80mph winds while moving west.

This areas hurricane past
1873 Oct 4th 105mph while turning NE
1880 Aug 9th, 105mph from the ESE
1887 July 25th 95mph winds coming from the SSE
1887 again on sept 17th 95mph winds on nearly the same course from the S.E
1888 Sept 6th 80mph from the ENE moves in just north
1893 Sept 28th 95mph from the SE
1895 Aug 26th 95mph from the ESE just north
1903 Aug 13th, 120mph from the ESE
1909 Aug 25th 105mph from the east
1916 Aug 17th,120mph just north from the ESE
1922, 85mph on oct 18th from the east
1933 105mph winds sept 22nd to the south from the ESE
1938 aug 13th 95mph from the S.E
1942 aug 27th 105mph from the S.E
1944 90mph(hurdat) sept 20th from the east
1951 Aug 19th 130mph to the south from the ESE
1961 Sept 7th,Hurricane Carla passes just east from the SSE with 105mph winds
1967 Sept 17th Hurricane Beulah passes just south with 105mph winds from the ESE
1980 Hurricane Allen passes to the north Aug 7th,with 185mph winds from the ESE
1988 hurricane Gilbert sept 14th a cat 5 hits with 165mph winds the north tip of the Yucatan from the ESE as this area got hit hard.Tosse vessels on shore large storm surge took years to get tourism back. Satelite photo | Damage photo
2005,Oct 22nd, Hurricane Wilma passes over the area very slowly while moving north from the S.E & beginning the turn to the N.E. Hits with 130mph winds & exits with 95mph winds. Cancun was hammered for nearly 36 hrs by hurricane force winds with extensive damage. Reports in early 2006 indicate that beaches are a sliver of what they once were. Very few hotels in the beach communities are operational with the nights in the hotel zone labled as "ghostly". Official final report from NHC indicates roughly 100mph sustained with gusts to 130mph and 3 billion dollars in damage. Hurricane warning show | Hotel damage before & after | Satellite image of Wilma as a cat 5 before landfall, strongest ever in the Atlantic basin as of 2005. | animated radar(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) Movie slide presentation of damage
2020 Oct 7th Hurricane Delta hits just south by 19 miles with 105mph winds. Gusts's here reported at 106mphhit map

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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