Cedar key's history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.
Cedar key most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and September 6th
Years within or near core
1871bdts,1871,1872tsbr,1874,1877ts,1879ts,1880tsbr,1880bd,1880,1882,1885ts,1886br,1886,1888,1888tsbd,1889tsbr,1893ts,1896m,1899ts,1900ts,1907tsbr,1909bdts,1919ts,1920ts,
1930ts,1932ts,1933bdts,1934tsbd,1935,1940ts,1941ts,1941br,1945,1947ts,1949bd,1950m,1950ts,1953tsbr,1960ts(hurdat),1968br,1976subtsbr,1985,1990ts,1995tsbr,1995tsbd,1996tsbr,
2000ts,2004tsbr,2004bdts,2006tsbr,2008tsbd,2012ts,2013ts,2016ts,2016br,2017bd,2018mbr,2020ts,2021ts,2022bdtsbr,2022bdts,2023brm,(2024br,2024mbr not in stats)
62 times in 152 yrs end of 2023






Names from list above
Easy,Gladys,Brenda,Elena,Marco,Allison,Erin,Josephine,Gordon,Frances,Jeanne,Alberto,Fay,Debby,Andrea,Colin,Hermine,Irma,Michael,Eta,Elsa,Ian,Nicole,Idalia,Debby,Helene,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=42, 67.74% H=20, 32.26%
only 6.45% of all tropical systems affecting Cedar key are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
17 years 1950-1968

How often Cedar key gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.45 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(13h)once every 11.69 years state stats
Average years between major hurricane hits.(2)
once every 76 years


Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
88mph

Statistically when Cedar key should be affected next
impacted in 2024

Last affected by
2024 Sept 26th large major hurricane Helene brushes 56 miles to the N.W with 135mph winds while moving NNE.

Cedar key hurricane history
1871 sept 6th a 80mph cane hits from the SW
1874 sept 28th 80mph
1880 bd hurricane regains hurricane strength on aug 30th with 80mph winds moving WNW
1880 Oct 8th 80mph from the SW just south
1882 Oct 10th 80mph just north by 24 miles from the SSW.
1886 july 18th 75mph
1888 a hurricane kills 9 people here oct 10th with 95mph winds.
1896 sept 29th 10ft storm surge 100 killed,moving at 46mph. Tremendous destruction occurred in a 50 mile wide swath from Cedar Key to Savannah. Winds est near 125mph north of Cedar Key. Damage photo | Hit Map
1935 sept 4th (labor day keys hurricane)3 killed heavy coastal damage winds of 90mph worst flooding since 1896
1945 June 24th 90 mph from the SW moves in just south of here by 23 miles.
1949 Aug 27th 75 mph just east from the south (hurdat2)
1950 EASY sept 5th a storm surge of 5.1 ft with a cat 3 at low tide 38 inches of rain areaflooded for several weeks, 120mph winds(hurdat) 2/3rds of homes destroyed press 28.30 many cars had strange spots on them as a result researches found low barometeric pressure caused air pockets under the paint which later dissapeared. weather map | hit map
1985 Hurricane Elena with 110 mph winds brushes by to the west by 45 miles while looping in the gulf causing some coastal flooding here. Hurricane force wind field affected area for several hours before turning away, Cedar Key,FL 3:30 pm 8/31 45 mph 60 mph S , Cedar Key, FL ___ Over the road debris Richard Horodner Cedar Key | newspaper article #1 | newspaper article #2
2017 Sept 11th,Hurricane Irma begins to weaken to tropical storm but still has 75mph while impacting the area. Area reported a 2.59 ft storm surge as Irma passed to the east. NHC report | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy)

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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