Cozumel,Mexico's history with tropical systems
Current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
Cozumel most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 7th and september 13th
Years within or near core
62 times in 152 yrs end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=30, 48.39% H=32, 51.61%
only 9.84% of all tropical systems affecting Cozumel are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
12 years 1976-1987

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.45 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits in Cozumel.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(24h)once every 6.33 years

Average years between major hurricane hits in Cozumel.(6)
once every 25.33 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when Cozumel should be affected next
before the end of 2024

Last affected by
2021 Aug 19th Hurricane Grace comes ashore just south with 80mph winds southern half of island highest winds.

This areas hurricane past
1873 oct 1st a hurricane from the east with 90mph winds move just NE of here turning north
1880 aug 9th 105mph from the ESE hits just north
1887 95mph July 25th from the SSE
1887 Sept 17th 95mph from the S.E
1893 Sept 28th 95mph from the SE
1903, 120mph august 13th from the ESE
1909 Aug 25th, 105mph just north from the East
1922 Oct 18th, 85mph from the east
1933 a cat 2 105mph hits sept 22nd from the ESE
1938 ,95mph August13th from the SE just north.
1938 Aug 25th 95mph from the ESE just south from the ESE.
1942 Aug 27th,105mph from the S.E just north
1944 a cat 1 90mph hits Aug 22nd from the ESE
1944 80mph sept 20th from the east
1951 Hurricane Charlie hits with 130mph winds august 19th from the ESE.
1955 Sept 16th,Hurricane Hilda passes to the south with 110mph winds from the ESE
1967 Beulah hits as a cat 2, 110mph on Sept 16th from the ESE
1988 Sept 14th, 165mph from the ESE during hurricane Gilbert 52 were killed towns were destroyed by a 17ft storm surge,ruins only had minor damage. Satelite photo
1995 Oct 10th,hurricane Roxanne hits with 110mph winds press 28.29 from the east.
2005 July 18th 130mph Hurricane Emily hits as a cat 4 from the ESE ,although surface winds were much less. Sporadic damage to buildings in & around Cozumel,Mexico. Damage shot from Playa del carmen on mainland #1 | #2 | #3 | Animated radar at landfall | Our coverage of Emily
2005,Oct 21st, Hurricane Wilma passes over the Island while moving slowly NNW. Extensive damage to nearly the entire island.At this time Wilma had winds of 140mph & was moving very slowly at less than 5mph.Hurricane force winds pounded the island for over 24hrs. As of early 2006 many hotels are still shut down & the cruise ships docks have been destroyed. Hurricane warning show | Satellite image of Wilma as a cat 5 before landfall, strongest ever in the Atlantic basin as of 2005. | animated radar(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)"target=new>animated radar | Aftermath video from Cozumel
2020 Oct 7th Hurricane Delta southern eye wall hits northern Cozumel with 105mph winds.hit map
2020 Oct 26th Hurricane Zeta eye passes just south of the island while moving N.W with 80mph winds.hit map
2021 Aug 19th Hurricane Grace comes ashore just south with 80mph winds southern half of island highest winds.hit map | NHC Report

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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