(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
Years
within or near core 1872tsbr,1875tsbr,1877,1879tsbr,1880tsbr,1881ts,1882m,1885tsbr,1885bdts,1887br,1887bdtsbr,1889ts,1893br,1894ts,1894br,1895tsbr,1896br,1901br,1901tsbr,1902ts,1906,1907tsbr, 1911,1912,1914bdts,1916-2m,1917,1919ts,1923ts,1926m,1932,1934ts,1936br,1939ts,1939tsbr,1947ts,1950,1953br,1955tsbr,1956,1959ts,1960tsbr,1964xtropstbd,1969brm,1975brm,1979m, 1985m,1985ts,1995,1995m,1997,1998br,2002ts,2004m,2005ts,2005m,2009ts,2017ts,2017br,2018ts,2018mbr,2020tsbr,2020,2020br,2021ts 66
times in 152 yrs end of 2023
Names
from list
above Baker,Florence,Flossy,Ethel,Hilda,Camille,Eloise,Irene,Frederic,Elena,Juan,Erin,Opal,Danny,Georges,Hanna,Ivan,Arlene,Dennis,Ida,Cindy,Nate,Gordon,Michael,Cristobal,Sally,Zeta,Claudette,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=33, 50% H=33, 50%
Longest gap between storms 9 years 1986-1994
How often this area gets
affected? Gulf Shores brushed or hit every 2.30 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits in Gulf Shores.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours) (20h)once every 7.6 years State stats
Average years between major hurricane hits in Gulf Shores.(9) once every 16.89 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits in Gulf Shores. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 103 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2024
This is just a statistical average & does
not mean the area will be affected by that year
Last affected by 2021 June 19th Tropical Storm Claudette passes to NNW by 101 miles with 40mph winds while moving NE.
in Gulf Shores hurricane past 1877 Sept 19th 80mph from the WSW 1882 Sept 9th, 125mph from the S.W just east of here. Hit map 1906 Sept 27th, 110mph just west causes a very high storm surge of 10 ft 1911 Aug 11th, 80mph from the S.E 1912 Sept 14th, 75mph from the south 1916 July 5th, 120mph from the south just west 1916 just east Oct 18th 115mph from the SSW causes winds over 100mph & a 10ft storm surge 1917 Sept 28th, 95mph from the S.W just east 1926 Sept 20th,120mph from
the ESE Newspaper headline Pressure in Perdido key area 28.20 between 3 & 4 PM. 1932 Aug 31st 80mph from the S.E 1950 Aug 30th,Baker 85mph hits from the south ,gusts to 115mph 1956 Sept 24th, 100mph (hurdat) Hurricane Flossy hits from the WSW. 1979 sept 12th frederic passed 26 miles to the west with 130mph winds from the SSE, area hit
hard. Newspaper headline | Beach damage 1985 Sept 2nd Elena passes just south with 120mph winds moving WNW after
making several odd movements (minor damage) Wind map 1995 Aug 3rd,Erin from the ese
with 85mph winds most of damage was in fl panhandle, 1995 Oct 4th,120mph Opal passed just east & devestates areas
in Fla panhandle. av model error 1997 July 19th,hurricane Danny 75mph slow moving in from the WSW dumps 25 inches of rain here. NHC Danny report | Message board eyewitness report
2004 ,sept 16th very early morning,Hurricane Ivan direct hit with 130mph winds moving NNE over Eastern Alabama with Ivan having a wind field approx 85 miles out with an eye of approx 40 miles.Heavy beach damage, Several condos fell into ocean damage in Billions.Storm up to 12 ft in this area.Unofficial gust of 110mph.Ivan radar at landfall | Ivan wind swath map | USGS surge info
2005 July 10th Hurricane Dennis passes approx 40 miles to the east with 120mph winds while moving North. radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)
2020 September 16th hurricane Sally eye passes directly over while moving N.E with 110mph winds.Entire system slow moving takes 10 hrs for core to pass through. Our coverage as it happened watch 39min | Radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | We were there covering it | NHC report
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