Jacksonville,Florida's history with tropical systems
,includes Palm valley,Atlantic Beach.
Current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)
Jacksonville most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 14th and september 20th
Years near or within core of wind field
1871-3bdts,1873ts,1874bdts,1877-2bdtsbr, 1878bd,1878bdts,1879bdts,1880bdts,1880bd,1885,1885bdts,1885bdtsbr,1886bdts,1888bdts,1888bd,1889tsbd,1893-2m,1894bd,1896bdm,
1897tsbd,1898m,1900tsbd,1906ts,1907tsbd,1910tsbd,1914ts,1915ts,1916bdts,1920tsbd,1926ts,1928bd,1932tsbd,1934ts bd,1936ts,1938tsbdbr,1940tsbd,1944bdts,1945bd,1947tsbr,1949bdbr,
71 times in 151yrs end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=49, 69.01% H=22, 30.99%
23.94% of all tropical systems affecting Jacksonville are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
11 years 1989-1999

How often Jacksonville gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.14 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane winds for at least a few hours)
(13h)once every 11.69 years state stats

Average years between direct major hurricane hits.(major hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(4)once every 38 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when Jacksonville should be affected next
before the end of 2026

Last affected by
2023 August 30th Hurricane Idalia hits in Gulf and passes to N.W by 73 miles at closest approach with 80 mph winds.

Jacksonville's hurricane history
1878 Sept 11th,strengthening to a hurricane while moving away with 85mph winds, press 29.19 (hurdat)
1885 Aug 24th, a cat 2 hurricane moving north while just east with 105mph winds
1888 oct 11th 80mph from the SW
1893 Aug 27th,115mph just off shore while moving north.Distance from downtown Jacksonville of 38 nm yields a central pressure of 943.5 mb at the stormís closest point of approach to Jacksonville. Damage reports from the 1893 hurricane are very similar to damage sustained in Hurricane Floyd in 1999 and it appears the 1893 event was a similar storm for those areas. Hit map
1893, Oct 13th ,120mph just offshore while moving north. Hit map
1894 sept 26th a hurricane from the SSW heavy damage to crops & homes passes just south & southeast with 80mph winds
1896 Sept 29th a very fast moving hurricane from the gulf of Mexico SSW passes 49 miles west with 125mph winds causing heavy damage. Hit map
1898 Oct 2nd a major hurricane with 130mph winds moves into the Georgia N Florida border coming from the SE.Hit map
1928 sept 17, 90mph from the south just west
1960 Sept 11th, hurricane Donna hits from the S.W passing just east with 105mph winds. NHC Wallet
1964 Dora Sept 10th 110mph winds (hurdat2)just south by 30 miles from the east , 3 killed 230 mill in damage area battered by hurricane force winds for 15 hrs,heavy damage here. N.E winds @ 85mph observed Hit map | video Dora as it happened | Newspaper headline | NHC Wallet
1979 sept 4th from the SSE,David passes by just offshore by 40miles arguably a brush with 95mph winds. NHC Wallet
2016 ,Oct 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 37 miles with 110mph winds while moving north. One death reported ,72-year-old man was repairing a hole in his roof when he fell off the roof. Battering waves knocked down and washed away part of the Jacksonville Beach Pier. The combination of storm surge and freshwater flooding of the St. Johns River destroyed many properties and knocked out electrical power for nearly 250,000 customers in the Jacksonville metropolitan area. (per NHC)Radar (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Best models | Matthew timeline | NHC final report | USGS surge info | A disaster named Matthew video

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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