(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
Years near or within core winds 1871,1874tsbr,1877ts,1879,1882,1883br,1884,1885tsbr,1887-2ts,1888,1888m,1889tsbr,1891,1893brm,1899m,1900ts,1901ts,1903ts,1906ts,1908m,1919,1921ts,1923,1926-2m,1928ts,1928m, 1931ts,1932ts,1932-2m,1933br,1933brm,1933m,1934ts,1935ts,1937ts,1938ts,1939-2tsbr,1941br,1941ts,1942tsbr,1942ts,1945m,1946ts,1949,1952,1956brm,1956ts,1960m,1973tsbr,1981tsbr, 1981ts,1994ts,1995,1996br,1996,1999brm,2004brm,2005ts,2011,2012,2015m,2016brm,2017brm,2020br,2024tsbr 69
times in 153yrs end of 2024
Names from
list above F and G storms most likely to impact area Fox,Betsy,Carla,Donna,Gilda,Gert,Katrina,Gordon,Erin,Bertha,Lili,Floyd,Frances,Rita,Irene,Sandy,Joaquin,Matthew,Irma,Isaias,Oscar,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=31, 44.93% H=38, 55.07%
Longest gap between storms 12 years 1960-1973 & 1981-1994
How often this area gets affected? brushed or
hit every 2.22 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours) (26)once every 5.88 years
Average years between major hurricane hits.(12) once every 12.75 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 109mph
Statistically
when this area should be affected next before the end of 2027
Last affected
by 2024 Oct 22nd tropical storm Oscar brushes to the S.E with 40mph winds.
This areas hurricane past 1871 Aug 23rd,105mph just north from the ESE 1879 Aug 16th,90mph from the S.E just N.E of here 1882 Sept 4th,90mph just south from the East 1884 Oct 11th,80mph from the south 1888 Aug 15th,80mph from the ESE 1888 Sept 3rd,120mph from the ESE passes to the south. Hit Map 1891 Aug 22nd, 95mph from the ESE 1899 Aug 11th, 120mph from the ESE just south 1908 Sept 12th, 115mph from the S.E Book reference page 370 1919 Sept 7th, 110mph from the ESE 1923 Sept 25th,85mph from the SSE passes just N.E 1926 July 26th 140 mph directly over island from the S.E. Many homes destroyed & bridges knocked out. 1926 Sept 17th,150mph from the ESE
1928 Sept 15th a Hurricane with 155 mph winds passes over from the ESE 1932 Sept 4th,145mph to the north from the ESE 1932 The major Hurricane that killed thousands in Cuba hits just NW of here with 125mph winds (hurdat)on Nov 11th on the way out to sea,“The Commissioner at Clarence
Town telegraphed on Thursday that a severe hurricane had passed over Long Island between 9p.m. on
Wednesday [the 9th] and 7a.m. on Thursday [the 10th], the wind, which was from the southeast, blowing
hardest between 10 and 11 o’clock. The lowest barometer reading at 2a.m. Thursday 28.23 [956 mb].
At about 3.15 the wind change and blew from south-west. Many kitchen and barns were blown down and a
number of houses were damaged. 1933 Aug 31st,155mph to the south from the ESE passes just south by 43 miles. 1945 Sept 14th, 120mph just south from the ESE 1949 Aug 25th, 95mph from the ESE just north 1952 Oct 26th hurricane Fox passes to north with 110mph from the west 1960 sept 8th Hurricane Donna passes just south from the east with 120mph winds(hurdat) causing heavy damage in the central bahamas.more here 1995 Aug 1st, hurricane Erin north
side with 75mph from the SSE. NHC report 1996 Oct 19th,Hurricane Lili hits just north with 105mph winds from the WSW,area
had sustained winds of 80mph for 2 hrs.some structural damage
reported.NHC report
2011 Aug 24th, Hurricane Irene hits while moving WNW with 110mph winds causing moderate damage. Irene model history | our coverage as it happened
2012 Oct 25th, Hurricane Sandy hits from the south while moving north with 105mph winds. Sandy model history
2015 Oct 2nd Hurricane Joaquin hits the island while turning north with 130mph winds. Power outage due to downed lines; flooding of private fresh water wells; structural damages to homes; extreme flooding of approximately 4 feet of water in the Northern part of the island. Police station evacuated because of flooding.NHC final report | Wind bar graph | Satellite shot
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