(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given. Years
within or near core 1872ts,1875,1876ts,1878ts,1879ts,1880tsbr,1883m,1886tsbr,1887tsbr,1888ts,1889ts,1891m,1893br,1894m,1894,1895ts,1896ts,1896tsbr,1898br,1901ts,1903,1908tsbr,1915tsbr,1916br, 1916-2tsbr,1918ts,1926ts,1931-2ts,1941tsbr,1942ts,1943tsbr,1945tsbr,1949tsbr,1951,1951tsbr,1956br,1958ts,1960ts,1963,1967ts,1970ts,1979m,1980brm,1994ts,1995ts,1995,2007, 2010br,2012tsbr,2013ts,2014ts,2016ts,2017brm,2018tsbr,2018ts,2019tsbr,2021br,2023tsbr,2023br 61
times in 153yrs end of 2024
Names from list
above D storms most likely to impact area Dog,Charlie,Betsy,Ella,Edith,Beulah,Dorothy,Ana,David,Allen,Debby,Iris,Marilyn,Dean,Tomas,Ernesto,Chantal,Bertha,Matthew,Maria,Isaac,Kirk,Dorian,Elsa,Bret,Tammy,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=41, 67.80% H=20, 32.20%
Longest gap between storms 13 years 1981-1993
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.51 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits. once every 13.91 years (11h)
Average years between major hurricane hits.(4) once every 38.25 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 104 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2026
Last affected by 2023 Oct 21st hurricane Tammy brushes 48 miles to the east at closest approach with 80mph winds while moving NNW. Island had gust's near 50mph and near 5" of rain in some areas.
This areas hurricane
past 1780 The great Hurricane on Oct 11th sinks 40 ships killing an estimated 5,000 men. (not in stats) 1875 just south 90mph sept 9th 1883 Sept 4th, 125mph from the ESE Hit map 1891 Aug 18th, 125mph with press of 26.85 total
devestation from the S.E. Hit map 1894 Sept 20th, 115mph from the ESE Hit map 1894 Oct 12th, 95mph from the SSE 1903 aug 9th 31 killed 90mph from the east. 1951 sept 2nd Hurricane Dog 90mph (hurdat) hits from the east causing moderate damage 1963 sept 25th,hurricane Edith hits from the ESE killing 10 with an 8 ft storm surge
28.38 90mph. NHC Wallet
1979 Aug 30th,
hurricane David brushes north tip of island as a cat 4 145mph from the ESE causing heavy damage 500
homes destroyed 80 boats sunk,15 injured. David page
1995 Sept 14th, hurricane marilyn a cat 1 ,80mph from the S.E just east
causes moderate damage to area. Disaster survey report
2007,Aug 17th Hurricane Dean passes between Martinique & St Lucia with 100mph winds.roofs blown off, weather officials said that the French island had been recording wind gusts of 87 miles per hour.An elderly man died of a heart attack during the storm and six people were injured. The hurricane destroyed all the banana plantations, which employ 10,000 of Martinique's 400,000 residents, and wiped out 70 percent of the sugarcane farms, said Christian Estrosi, France's secretary of state for overseas territories. The highest storm-total rainfall in Martinique was 13.07 inches at Fort de France-Colson. Caravelle sustained 78mph gusts to 88mph, Sainte-Anne sustained 77mph gusts to 116mph,Fort de France sustained 83mph gusts to 114mph.radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC Report
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