(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
Years
within 60
miles 1873tsbr,1875br,1876tsbr,1878bdts,1880ts,1882br,1886ts,1887ts,1888brm,1894bdbr,1900bdts,1916bdts,1928bdts,1930bdtsbr,1932bdm,1933bdtsbr,1934bdts,1950ts,1950br,1955tsbr, 1958br,1960brm,1963bd,1966br,1981bdtsbr,1985br,1998,2006ts,2007ts,2008-2,2012tsbr,2017m,2020tsbr 34
times in 152 yrs end of 2023
Names from list above Baker,king,Hilda,Ella,Donna,Flora,Inez,katrina,kate,Georges,Ernesto,Noel,Ike,Paloma,Isaac,Irma,Laura,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=19, 55.88% H=15, 41.12%
Longest gap between storms 15 years 1901-1915 & 1935-1949
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 4.47 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 40 miles to include small hurricanes) (6h)once every 25.33 years
Average years between major hurricane hits.(2) once every 76 yrs
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 107mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2025
Last affected
by 2020 Aug 24th TS Laura passes well south with 65mph winds while moving WNW.
This areas
hurricane past 1932 on Nov 9th a storm wave invaded the area
killing 2,500 people from the south. it
passed to sea again near Nuevitas, where a barometer reading of 28.85 inches [977 mb] and an
estimated wind velocity of 125 miles per hour were reported. Came in at Santa Cruz del Sur(hurdat) on south coast with 150mph winds & exited near Nuevitas moving N.E with 125mph winds.“At Nuevitas an experienced observer
of the Pan American Airways estimated the wind velocity of 210 miles an hour which agrees closely
with the statement in the log of the S.S. Phemius that it was not overestimating to put the wind
force at two hundred mile an hour” (Tannehill).Monument | video. 1963 Oct 7th Hurricane Flora does a loop over the area with 85mph winds from the S.E
. NHC Wallet 1998 Sept 24th,hurricane Georges
as a cat 1 ,75mph dumps very heavy rain on the area from the ESE. NHC report
2008,Sept 8th Hurricane Ike hits just south while moving west with 105mph winds.Reports of 80mph sustained with a gust to 110mph 987mb Ike model history | radar animation
2008 Nov 9th, Hurricane Paloma hits from the S.W with 85mph winds just before weakening to a tropical storm.radar animation
2017 Sept 8th Hurricane Irma passes just north by 37 miles with 160mph winds while moving west. More than 150,000 homes were damaged with nearly 15,000 completely destroyed nine reported dead in Cuba in NHC final report. Best track data | NHC report | radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)
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