Palm Coast,Florida's history with tropical systems
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
current weather

Palm Coast most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 14th and september 20th
Years near and within core winds
70 times in 152 years end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=46, 65.71% H=24, 34.29%
only 7.69% of all tropical systems affecting Palm Coast are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
12 years 1989-2000

How often Palm Coast gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.17 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(12h)once every 12.67 years state stats

Average years between direct major hurricane hits.(major hurricane at adv upon passage)
(4)once every 38 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
103 mph

Statistically when Palm Coast should be affected next
before the end of 2026

Last affected by
2023 August 30th hurricane Idalia comes onshore in Gulf to the N.W by 118 miles at closest approach with 110mph winds.

Palm Coast hurricane past
1885 Aug 24th,95mph from the SSE just east by 30 miles.
1893 Aug 27th a 115mph hurricane moving NNW just offshore by 33 miles Hit map
1893 Oct 12th,120mph just east by 30 miles from the SSE. Hit map
1894 Sept 26th, 75mph directly over from the SSW
1898 Oct 2nd, 130mph just N.E by 58 miles from the S.E Hit map
1928 Sept 17th,95mph from the south just west by 38 miles.
1960,Sept 11th donna from South West as a cat 2 with 110mph winds directly over. more here | Weather service post sketch
1964 Dora sept 10th just north by 17 miles as a cat 3 with 125mph winds batter this area over hurricane force for 15 hrs gusts over 100mph.| NHC Wallet
1968 Oct 19th Gladys bd cat one with 80mph winds from the S.W. 15 miles to north.NHC Wallet
1979 Sept 4th, hurricane David hits from the south 19 miles east with 95mph winds. NHC Wallet
2004 Aug 14th Hurricane Charley hits with 85mph winds from the SSW 14 miles SE while moving offshore. radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC report
2016 ,Oct 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 28 miles with 115mph winds while moving NNW. A post-storm assessment conducted by the Weather Forecast Office (WFO) in Jacksonville also suggested that inundation could have been as high as 7 ft in several locations along the immediate coastline, particularly near Matanzas Inlet and Marineland. Severe storm surge flooding produced inundation of 6-7 ft above ground level, causing a new inlet to be cut in the barrier island between Marineland and Matanzas Inlet.Radar (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Best models | Matthew timeline | NHC final report | USGS surge info | A disaster named Matthew video

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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