(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical
Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all
names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every
storm description is given.
Years within or near core 1871m,1876m,1878ts,1889,1891brm,1891ts,1893m,1894,1896br,1898ts,1899m,1900ts,1901-2tsbr,1909br,1910,1916ts,1916-2,1926tsbr,1928m,1930,1931ts,1931,1932,1933-2ts,1933tsbr, 1938tsbr,1945tsbr,1947tsbr,1950ts,1956,1960brm,1966brm,1979ts,1981ts,1984tsbr,1989m,1995,1998,1999tsbr,1999m,2004ts,2008m,2011ts,2014tsbr,2015ts,2017brm,2017m,2019,2019ts,2020tsbr,2020ts, 2022ts,2024tsbr 56
times in 153yrs end of 2024
Names
from list
above I storms most likely to impact area Baker,Betsy,Donna,Inez,Frederic,Gert,klaus,Hugo,Marilyn,Georges,Jose,Lenny,Jeanne,Omar,Irene,Bertha,Erika,Irma,Maria,Dorian,Karen,Isaias,Laura,Fiona, Ernesto,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=29, 51.79% H=27, 48.21%
Longest gap between storms 12 years 1967-1978
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.73 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours) once every 7.29 years (21h)
Average years between major hurricane hits.(9) once every 17 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 115 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2027
This is just a statistical average & does
not mean the area will be affected by that year
Last affected by 2024 Aug 13th tropical storm Ernesto brushes north with 60mph winds while moving WNW
This areas hurricane past 1871 Aug 21st to the north with 115mph winds from the ESE. Hit map 1876 Sept 13th, 115mph from the east. Hit map 1889 Sept 3rd, 105mph from the S.E just north 1893 becomes major 115mph
winds while moving WNW aug 16th (hurdat2). Hit map 1894 Oct 13th, 95mph from the SSE 1899,Aug 8th 145mph hits just south from the ESE
causing heavy damage. Hit map 1910 Sept 6th,95mph from the east 1916 August 21st,95mph from the ESE just north 1916 ,110mph october 9th,963 mb implies winds of at
97 kt from the southern pressure-wind relationship. 95 kt is chosen for HURDAT
at 18 UTC on the 9th, from the south 1928 Sept 13th,155mph
hits causing major damage from the ESE just south pressure of 27.50 was recorded. US president asking for help 1930 Sept 2nd,110mph to the south from the ESE 1931 Sept 10th,90mph just north from the east 1932 Sept 26th, 110mph just north from the east 1956 hurricane Betsy hits with 90mph winds on
august 12th from the ESE 1989 Sept 18th,hurricane Hugo hits with 140mph winds from the S.E island is
devestated. | Damage photos | Newspaper article | article #2 | more damage photos | more photos 1995 Sept 15th,hurricane Marilyn hits with 105mph winds from the S.E causing very heavy
damage press 28.32 gusts to 125mph west side hit hardest. Disaster survey report 1998 hurricane
Georges hits with 110mph just north from the ESE sept 21st moderate damage here NHC report In 1999 on Nov 17th Major hurricane Lenny just south with 145mph winds from the WSW causing moderate damage to the island.gusts to 112 mph reported here.| Lenny satellite
2008 Oct 15th Hurricane Omar passes just east coming from the south with 115mph winds. A very small wind field only affected the east part of the island with hurricane force gusts but overall minor damage. Radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Call ins to local radio show during passage
2017 Sept 19th Hurricane Maria passes just south while moving N.W with 170mph winds at closest approach. Most still have no power or cell service 75 days after Maria hit.Sandy Point NWR, St.
Croix (XCRX) sustained 107mph gust to 137mph. Wind damage was evident across
the entire island with many fallen trees, downed signs, roof damage and complete destruction of
many wooden houses. Excessive rainfall generated significant flooding and mud slides across
the island. radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)Relief concert | NHC report
2019 Aug 28th Hurricane Dorian develops over island with 75mph winds while pulling away mainly affecting east part of island.radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC report
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Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....
Saint Croix,Virgin Island's history with
tropical systems
