Saint Vincent's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).



Years within or near core
1876tsbr,1886ts,1886,1887-4ts,1888ts,1891ts,1894br,1895ts,1896ts,1898,1898ts,1901ts,1901tsbr,1905tsbr,1916ts,1918tsbr,1921,1928ts,1933-2tsbr,1943tsbr,1944-2ts,1949ts,1951br,
1954,1955br,1960ts,1967tsbr,1980m,1986tsbr,1987ts,1994tsbr,2001 -2ts,2002ts,2003ts,2004br,2007br,2010,2012ts,2016ts,2017ts,2018ts,2019ts,(2021 not in stats)
48 times in 149yrs end of 2020






Names from list above
Dog,Hazel,Janet,Abby,Beulah,Allen,Danielle,Emily,Debby,Chantal,Jerry,lili,Claudette,Ivan,Dean,Tomas,Ernesto,Matthew,Harvey,Kirk,Karen,Elsa,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=36, 75% H=12, 25%

Longest gap between storms
12 years 1968-1979

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 3.10 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.
once every 21.14 years (7h)

Average years between major hurricane hits.(1)
not enough data

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
101 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
impacted in 2021
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2021 July 2nd Hurricane Elsa passes just north with 75mph winds while moving WNW.

This areas hurricane past
1886 Aug 16th, 110mph from the ENE
1898 Sept 11th, 110mph from the ESE killing 100 people here
1921 Sept 8th, 80mph from the S.E
1954 Oct 5th,hurricane Hazel hits just south with 80mph winds from the east.
1955 Sept 23rd, Hurricane Janet levels the area with 105mph winds press 28.90 .
1980 Hurricane Allen passes just north with 130mph winds on Aug 4th from the ESE. NHC Wallet
2010 Oct 30th Hurricane Tomas passes just north with 80mph winds while moving west causing quite a bit of damage.| Model performance | Radar animation

2021 July 2nd Hurricane Elsa passes just north by 10 miles with 75mph winds while moving WNW.

Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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