St john's,Newfoundland's history with tropical systems (within 80 miles of island)
current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.Unless "significant" Extratropical systems will not be noted! "?" indicates unknown at landfall.(since 1871)
St John's most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and September 6th
Years affected
1873,1880ts,1884ts,1886,1888xtropts,1890br,1891xtropstbr,1892extratropst,1893,1895tsbr,1899,1899xtropstbr,1908ts,1926xtropst,1932xtropstbr,
1935xtropstbr,1937xtropst,1939extratroph,1946xtropstbr,1949xtropst,1950extratropstbr,1959xtropst,1962xtropst,1964xtropst,1969,1970xtropstbr,
1973xtropstbr,1978brm,1985xtropstbr,1989tsbr,1995,1998xtropst,1999xtropst,2000ts,2001xtropts,2002xtropst,2005xtropst,2006extratrophbr,2006ts,
2006xtropst,2007xtropst,2008xtropstbd,2009,2010,2011-2-extratropicalst,2012ts,2014br,2018xtrstbr,2020br,2021,2022 extropstbr,(2024br not in stats)
52 times 152yrs end of 2023






Names from list above
George,Debbie,Gilda,Ella,Ana,Dean,Luis,Earl,Arthur,Florence,Gert,Erin,Ophelia,Florence,Alberto,Isaac,Chantal,Bill,Igor,Maria,Ophelia,Leslie,Gonzalo,Chris,Epsilon,Larry,Fiona,Ernesto,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=38, 73.08% H=14, 26.92%
only 1.92% of all tropical systems affecting St John's are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
17 years 1908-1926

How often Stjohns area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.92 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits in St pierre.(hurricane force winds gusts for a couple of hours)
(10h)once every 15.20 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits in St pierre. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
80 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
impacted in 2024

Last affected
2024 Aug 20th Hurricane Ernesto brushes well south by 83 miles with 75mph winds while racing N.E.

St pierre's hurricane past
1873 Aug 26th,80mph slowly moves into St Johns This was a deadly hurricane killing over 500 in Nova scotia & 100 in New Foundland .
1886 Aug 24th,75mph from the WSW
1893 a hurricane hits with 85mph winds on Aug 18th from the WSW.
1899 Sept 14th 75mph from the south
1939 Oct 18th extratropical storm hits with 75mph winds from the SSW while dying down.
1969 Hurricane Debbie 80mph Aug 24th passes just offshore from the south,this hurricane was cloud seeded earlier. NHC Wallet
1995 Hurricane Luis hits with 90mph winds while racing NNE on Sept 11th. NHC Report
2009 Aug 24th Hurricane Bill hits with 75mph winds while moving ENE at 40mph. Minor damage reported but very high seas. Model performance
2010 Sept 21st Hurricane Igor hits coming in from the SSW moving N.E with 75mph winds. Heavy flooding from 6 to 10 inches of rain, trees & powerlines down many without power.NHC Report
2021 Sept 11th hurricane Larry passes just west by 49 miles while racing N.E with 80mph winds. News report | NHC Report

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Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............
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