Saint Augustine, Florida's History with Tropical Systems

Current Weather | Saint Augustine Hurricane History Video

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Saint Augustine most likely to be hit by a hurricane between September 21st and September 27th

Years within or near core

1871bdtsbr
1871bdts
1873bdtsbr
1874bdts
1877bdts
1878bdts
1879bdts
1880ts
1880bdtsbr
1880bdts
1881br
1882bdtsbr
1885
1885-2tsbdbr
1886bdts
1888bdtsbr
1888bd
1889tsbd
1893bdtsbr
1893-2m
1894bd
1896bdbrm
1898m
1906ts
1907bdtsbr
1910tsbd
1914ts
1915ts
1916ts
1920tsbd
1921bdbr
1925xtbr
1926ts
1928bd
1932bdts
1936ts
1937tsbr
1944bdts
1945-2tsbd
1947bdtsbr
1949bdbr
1950bdts
1950bdtsbr
1952br
1960bd
1963br
1964ts
1964
1968ts
1968bd
1974subtsbr
1979
1982subtsbd
1984ts
1984bdts
1985ts
2000bdtsbr
2001tsbdbr
2004bdbr
2004br
2004bdtsbr
2005ts
2008ts
2012ts
2013bdtsbr
2016-2bdts
2016m
2017bdts
2019br
2020bdts
2022bdbr
2022br
2023bdbr
2024bdtsbr
2024bdmbr
2024bdbr

80 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above (D storms most likely to impact the area)

Easy
King
Able
Donna
Ginny
Cleo
Dora
Abby
Gladys
David
Diana
Isidore
Bob
Gordon
Gabrielle
Charley
Frances
Jeanne
Tammy
Fay
Beryl
Andrea
Colin
Julia
Matthew
Irma
Dorian
Eta
Ian
Nicole
Idalia
Debby
Helene
Milton

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 54, 67.50%
H = 26, 32.50%

only 7.5% of all tropical systems affecting Saint Augustine are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms

14 years 1986-1999

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 1.91 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits. (hurricane force winds for a few hours)

Once every 12.75 years. (12 hits) State stats

Average years between major hurricane hits. (portion of core impacting)

Once every 38.25 years. (4 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

102 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Before the end of 2026

This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year.

Last affected by

2024 October 10th Hurricane Milton brushes well to the south by 94 miles at closest approach with 85 mph winds while moving east-northeast offshore.

This area's hurricane history

1885 August 24th just offshore while moving north with 95 mph winds.
1888 October 11th, 85 mph just north from the southwest
1893 August 27th a major hurricane moves by just offshore by 40 miles. 120 plus mph while moving north-northwest. Hit map
1893 October 12th, 120 mph just offshore from the southeast. Hit map
1894 September 26th, 75 mph from the south-southwest
1898 October 2nd, 130 mph to the north from the east-southeast. Hit map
1928 September 17th, 90 mph from the south
1960 Hurricane Donna hits just south from the southwest with 105 mph winds September 11th. NHC Wallet
1964 Dora September 10th hits here with 110 mph (HURDAT2) eye passes directly over. Winds from the east pressure 28.52 hurricane force winds here for 15 hours.12 ft storm surge, 3 killed 200 million dollars damage. Hit map | Video Dora as it happened | Newspaper headline | NHC Wallet
1968 October 19th Hurricane Gladys from the southwest with 80 mph winds. NHC Wallet
1979 September 4th Hurricane David passes just east with 95 mph winds from the south. NHC Wallet
2016, October 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 30 miles with 115 mph winds while moving north. Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Matthew timeline | USGS surge info |Best models | A disaster named Matthew video

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......