Beta and Advection Models
Trajectory Models
BAMS - Beta and Advection Model, shallow layer (NHC)
( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
BAMM - Beta and Advection Model, medium layer (NHC)
( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
BAMD - Beta and Advection Model, deep layer (NHC)
( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
CARQ
Combined ARQ (Automated Response to Query) Position
CARQ - Combined ARQ (Automated Response to Query) Position
( more )
Note: This contains the center position in a storm's model file in the ATCF system.
CLIPER and SHIFOR
Climatology and Persistence model and Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model
OCD5 - CLP5 (track) and DSF5 (intensity) models merged
( more )
Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs
CLP5 - CLIPER5 (Climatology and Persistence model 5 day)
DSF5 - DSHIFOR5 (Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast, Climatology and Persistence model 5 day)
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
BCD5 - Best Track Decay (Only available post-season)
( more )
Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs
CLIPER
Climatology and Persistence model
CLIP - CLImatology and PERsistance model 3-day
CLP5 - CLImatology and PERsistance model 5-day (CLIPER5)
( more )
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
TCLP - Trajectory CLImatology and PERsistance (CLIPER) model 7-day
COAMPS
NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System
COCE - NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) Caribbean / East Pacific grid
COEI - COAMPS Caribbean / East Pacific grid (Interpolated 06 hours)
COE2 - COAMPS Caribbean / East Pacific grid (Interpolated 12 hours)
COAL - NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) Atlantic grid
COAI - COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 06 hours)
COA2 - COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 12 hours)
Canadian (CMC/GEM)
Global Environmental Multiscale model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre
CMC - Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre (Canadian model)
( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CMCI - Canadian model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CMC2 - Canadian model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre
Canadian Ensemble
Canadian Meteorological Centre
CEMN - Canadian model Ensemble Mean
CEMI - Canadian model Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
CEM2 - Canadian model Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
CC00 - Canadian model Ensemble Control Member
CP01 - Canadian model Ensemble +01 member
CP02 - Canadian model Ensemble +02 member
CP03 - Canadian model Ensemble +03 member
CP04 - Canadian model Ensemble +04 member
CP05 - Canadian model Ensemble +05 member
CP06 - Canadian model Ensemble +06 member
CP07 - Canadian model Ensemble +07 member
CP08 - Canadian model Ensemble +08 member
CP09 - Canadian model Ensemble +09 member
CP10 - Canadian model Ensemble +10 member
CP11 - Canadian model Ensemble +11 member
CP12 - Canadian model Ensemble +12 member
CP13 - Canadian model Ensemble +13 member
CP14 - Canadian model Ensemble +14 member
CP15 - Canadian model Ensemble +15 member
CP16 - Canadian model Ensemble +16 member
CP17 - Canadian model Ensemble +17 member
CP18 - Canadian model Ensemble +18 member
CP19 - Canadian model Ensemble +19 member
CP20 - Canadian model Ensemble +20 member
Consensus Models
TCON - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of all: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCOE - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of all: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCOA - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of all: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCCN - Version of TCON corrected for model biases
( more )
Corrected TCON Consensus Guidance
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
ICON - Intensity Consensus (For 2016, consensus of all: DSHP + LGEM + GHMI + HWFI) - This is not German DWD ICON model
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCN - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCE - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI / NGPI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCA - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCP - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI / CTCI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCC - Corrected TVCN Consensus
( more )
Version of TVCN corrected for model biases
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
GFEX - Consensus Track Guidance (Consensus of AVNI and EMXI)
( more )
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Consensus Model Methods: Simple average track forecasts
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (120 hr)
Parameters forecast: Track
TVCX - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXIx2 / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI)
TVCY - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of at least two of: AVNIx2 / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI / EMXIx2 / CTCI)
IVCN - Intensity Consensus (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: HWFI / CTCI / DSHP / LGEM)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
IVCR - Intensity Consensus (Consensus of at least two of: DSHP / LGEM / GHMI / HWFI / RI?? (RI25 or RI30 or RI35 or RI40) + CTCI)
IVRI - Intensity Consensus (Consensus of five: DHSP / LGEM / GHMI / HWFI / CTCI / RI?? (RI25 or RI30 or RI35 or RI40)
HCCA - HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach model
( more )
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (120 hr)
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Consensus Model Methods: Positive/negative weighting coefficients; better performing models receive large weight
Ensemble Consenus Members (for 2017): AEMI / AVNI / CTCI / DSHP / EGRI / EMNI / EMXI / HWFI / LGEM
RVCN - R34 Wind Radii Consensus (For 2017 consensus composition: AHNI / EMXI / HHFI)
( more )
Consensus Model Methods: Multi-model wind radii, bias correct initial wind to match analysis; applied to all forecast periods
NHC Forecast Parameter(s): 34-kt wind radii
RYOC - Forecaster Created Consensus Guidance (any model combination)
MYOC - Forecaster Created Consensus Guidance (any model combination)
CGUN - Version of GUNA corrected for model biases
( more )
Corrected GUNA Consensus Guidance
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
DeMaria Radii CLIPER model
DRCL - DeMaria Radii CLImatology and PERsistence (CLIPER) model
DRCI - DeMaria Radii CLImatology and PERsistence (CLIPER) model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECMWF Ensemble [GTS tracker]
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ECME - ECMWF global model Ensemble Control Member [GTS tracker]
EE01 - ECMWF Ensemble +01 member [GTS tracker]
EE02 - ECMWF Ensemble +02 member [GTS tracker]
EE03 - ECMWF Ensemble +03 member [GTS tracker]
EE04 - ECMWF Ensemble +04 member [GTS tracker]
EE05 - ECMWF Ensemble +05 member [GTS tracker]
EE06 - ECMWF Ensemble +06 member [GTS tracker]
EE07 - ECMWF Ensemble +07 member [GTS tracker]
EE08 - ECMWF Ensemble +08 member [GTS tracker]
EE09 - ECMWF Ensemble +09 member [GTS tracker]
EE10 - ECMWF Ensemble +10 member [GTS tracker]
EE11 - ECMWF Ensemble +11 member [GTS tracker]
EE12 - ECMWF Ensemble +12 member [GTS tracker]
EE13 - ECMWF Ensemble +13 member [GTS tracker]
EE14 - ECMWF Ensemble +14 member [GTS tracker]
EE15 - ECMWF Ensemble +15 member [GTS tracker]
EE16 - ECMWF Ensemble +16 member [GTS tracker]
EE17 - ECMWF Ensemble +17 member [GTS tracker]
EE18 - ECMWF Ensemble +18 member [GTS tracker]
EE19 - ECMWF Ensemble +19 member [GTS tracker]
EE20 - ECMWF Ensemble +20 member [GTS tracker]
EE21 - ECMWF Ensemble +21 member [GTS tracker]
EE22 - ECMWF Ensemble +22 member [GTS tracker]
EE23 - ECMWF Ensemble +23 member [GTS tracker]
EE24 - ECMWF Ensemble +24 member [GTS tracker]
EE25 - ECMWF Ensemble +25 member [GTS tracker]
EE26 - ECMWF Ensemble +26 member [GTS tracker]
EE27 - ECMWF Ensemble +27 member [GTS tracker]
EE28 - ECMWF Ensemble +28 member [GTS tracker]
EE29 - ECMWF Ensemble +29 member [GTS tracker]
EE30 - ECMWF Ensemble +30 member [GTS tracker]
EE31 - ECMWF Ensemble +31 member [GTS tracker]
EE32 - ECMWF Ensemble +32 member [GTS tracker]
EE33 - ECMWF Ensemble +33 member [GTS tracker]
EE34 - ECMWF Ensemble +34 member [GTS tracker]
EE35 - ECMWF Ensemble +35 member [GTS tracker]
EE36 - ECMWF Ensemble +36 member [GTS tracker]
EE37 - ECMWF Ensemble +37 member [GTS tracker]
EE38 - ECMWF Ensemble +38 member [GTS tracker]
EE39 - ECMWF Ensemble +39 member [GTS tracker]
EE40 - ECMWF Ensemble +40 member [GTS tracker]
EE41 - ECMWF Ensemble +41 member [GTS tracker]
EE42 - ECMWF Ensemble +42 member [GTS tracker]
EE43 - ECMWF Ensemble +43 member [GTS tracker]
EE44 - ECMWF Ensemble +44 member [GTS tracker]
EE45 - ECMWF Ensemble +45 member [GTS tracker]
EE46 - ECMWF Ensemble +46 member [GTS tracker]
EE47 - ECMWF Ensemble +47 member [GTS tracker]
EE48 - ECMWF Ensemble +48 member [GTS tracker]
EE49 - ECMWF Ensemble +49 member [GTS tracker]
EE50 - ECMWF Ensemble +50 member [GTS tracker]
ECMWF Ensemble [NCEP tracker]
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
EEMN - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker]
( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
EMNI - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
EMN2 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
EMN3 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 18 hours)
EMN4 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 24 hours)
EC00 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Control Member [NCEP tracker]
EN01 - ECMWF Ensemble +01 member [NCEP tracker]
EN02 - ECMWF Ensemble +02 member [NCEP tracker]
EN03 - ECMWF Ensemble +03 member [NCEP tracker]
EN04 - ECMWF Ensemble +04 member [NCEP tracker]
EN05 - ECMWF Ensemble +05 member [NCEP tracker]
EN06 - ECMWF Ensemble +06 member [NCEP tracker]
EN07 - ECMWF Ensemble +07 member [NCEP tracker]
EN08 - ECMWF Ensemble +08 member [NCEP tracker]
EN09 - ECMWF Ensemble +09 member [NCEP tracker]
EN10 - ECMWF Ensemble +10 member [NCEP tracker]
EN11 - ECMWF Ensemble +11 member [NCEP tracker]
EN12 - ECMWF Ensemble +12 member [NCEP tracker]
EN13 - ECMWF Ensemble +13 member [NCEP tracker]
EN14 - ECMWF Ensemble +14 member [NCEP tracker]
EN15 - ECMWF Ensemble +15 member [NCEP tracker]
EN16 - ECMWF Ensemble +16 member [NCEP tracker]
EN17 - ECMWF Ensemble +17 member [NCEP tracker]
EN18 - ECMWF Ensemble +18 member [NCEP tracker]
EN19 - ECMWF Ensemble +19 member [NCEP tracker]
EN20 - ECMWF Ensemble +20 member [NCEP tracker]
EN21 - ECMWF Ensemble +21 member [NCEP tracker]
EN22 - ECMWF Ensemble +22 member [NCEP tracker]
EN23 - ECMWF Ensemble +23 member [NCEP tracker]
EN24 - ECMWF Ensemble +24 member [NCEP tracker]
EN25 - ECMWF Ensemble +25 member [NCEP tracker]
EP01 - ECMWF Ensemble +26 member [NCEP tracker]
EP02 - ECMWF Ensemble +27 member [NCEP tracker]
EP03 - ECMWF Ensemble +28 member [NCEP tracker]
EP04 - ECMWF Ensemble +29 member [NCEP tracker]
EP05 - ECMWF Ensemble +30 member [NCEP tracker]
EP06 - ECMWF Ensemble +31 member [NCEP tracker]
EP07 - ECMWF Ensemble +32 member [NCEP tracker]
EP08 - ECMWF Ensemble +33 member [NCEP tracker]
EP09 - ECMWF Ensemble +34 member [NCEP tracker]
EP10 - ECMWF Ensemble +35 member [NCEP tracker]
EP11 - ECMWF Ensemble +36 member [NCEP tracker]
EP12 - ECMWF Ensemble +37 member [NCEP tracker]
EP13 - ECMWF Ensemble +38 member [NCEP tracker]
EP14 - ECMWF Ensemble +39 member [NCEP tracker]
EP15 - ECMWF Ensemble +40 member [NCEP tracker]
EP16 - ECMWF Ensemble +41 member [NCEP tracker]
EP17 - ECMWF Ensemble +42 member [NCEP tracker]
EP18 - ECMWF Ensemble +43 member [NCEP tracker]
EP19 - ECMWF Ensemble +44 member [NCEP tracker]
EP20 - ECMWF Ensemble +45 member [NCEP tracker]
EP21 - ECMWF Ensemble +46 member [NCEP tracker]
EP22 - ECMWF Ensemble +47 member [NCEP tracker]
EP23 - ECMWF Ensemble +48 member [NCEP tracker]
EP24 - ECMWF Ensemble +49 member [NCEP tracker]
EP25 - ECMWF Ensemble +50 member [NCEP tracker]
ECMWF
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ECM - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) global model
ECMI - ECMWF global model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECM2 - ECMWF global model (Interpolated 12 hours)
EMX - ECMWF global model [NCEP tracker]
( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Cycle/Run Frequency: 12 hr (240hr), 00/12 UTC
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Horizontal Resolution: Spectral, ~9 km
Vertical Levels and Coordinate: 137, Hybrid Sigma-pressure
Data Assimilation: 4D-VAR
Convective Scheme Intensity Model Predictors: Tiedtke mass flux [Tiedtke (1989)]
EMXI - ECMWF global model [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EMX2 - ECMWF global model [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
ECMO - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker]
ECOI - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECO2 - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
Florida State University Super-ensemble Corrected Consensus
FSSE - Florida State University Super-ensemble Corrected Consensus
( more )
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (120 hr)
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Ensemble Consenus Members (according to NHC model page): AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI / NGPI
FSSI - Florida State University Super-ensemble (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFDL (Retired in early 2017)
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model
GFDL - NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL model)
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFDI - Previous cycle GFDL, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFD2 - GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours)
GHMI - GFDL using variable intensity offset (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle GFDL, adjusted using a variable intensity offset correction that is a function of forecast time. Note that for track, GHMI and GFDI are identical. (Interpolated 06 hours)
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GHM2 - GFDL using variable intensity offset (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDT - GFDL using [NCEP tracker]
GFTI - GFDL using [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFT2 - GFDL using [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDN - Navy version of GFDL model
( more )
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFNI - Navy version of GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle GFDN, adjusted
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFN2 - Navy version of GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
GFD5 - Parallel version of GFDL
GF5I - Parallel version of GFDL (Interpolated 06 hours)
GF52 - Parallel version of GFDL (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDE - GFDL model with ECMWF fields
( more )
From 2013 onwards. Historically, this identifer was previously used for GFDL model with Emmanuel convective parm
GFEI - GFDL model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFE2 - GFDL model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDL Ensemble
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model
GPMN - GFDL Ensemble Mean
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Ensemble mean of member numbers 01 to 11 computed at each lead time where the member availability is at least 4 (40% threshold)
GPMI - GFDL Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of GPMN using GFDL interpolator
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GPM2 - GFDL Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP00 - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Control forecast (based on NCEP 2015 operational GFDL)
GP01 - GFDL Ensemble +01 member (unbogussed)
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Opposite vortex bogussing method of the ensemble control model (i.e., runs unbogussed when the control runs bogussed, and vice versa)
GP02 - GFDL Ensemble +02 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Increase NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25%
GP03 - GFDL Ensemble +03 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Decrease NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25%
GP04 - GFDL Ensemble +04 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Modification to increase inner-core moisture by a max of 10%
GP05 - GFDL Ensemble +05 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Modification to decrease inner-core moisture by a max of 10%
GP06 - GFDL Ensemble +06 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Increase SSTs by a max of 3°C within the initial extent of the TC
GP07 - GFDL Ensemble +07 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Decrease SSTs by a max of 3°C within the initial extent of the TC
GP08 - GFDL Ensemble +08 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Surface physics modification: GFDL 2011 operational formulation of CD & CH (surface drag and enthalpy exchange coefficients)
GP09 - GFDL Ensemble +09 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Surface physics modification: HWRF 2015 operational formulation of CH (surface enthalpy exchange coefficient)
GP10 - GFDL Ensemble +10 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Physics modification: Effectively increase mean boundary layer depth
GP11 - GFDL Ensemble +11 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Physics modification: Effectively decrease mean boundary layer depth
GP12 - GFDL Ensemble +12 member
GP13 - GFDL Ensemble +13 member
GP14 - GFDL Ensemble +14 member
GP15 - GFDL Ensemble +15 member
GP16 - GFDL Ensemble +16 member
GP17 - GFDL Ensemble +17 member
G00I - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control (Interpolated 06 hours)
G01I - GFDL Ensemble +01 member, unbogussed (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
NHC Desc: GFDL ensemble member with no bogus vortex.
G02I - GFDL Ensemble +02 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G03I - GFDL Ensemble +03 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G04I - GFDL Ensemble +04 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G05I - GFDL Ensemble +05 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G06I - GFDL Ensemble +06 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G07I - GFDL Ensemble +07 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G08I - GFDL Ensemble +08 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G09I - GFDL Ensemble +09 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G10I - GFDL Ensemble +10 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G11I - GFDL Ensemble +11 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G12I - GFDL Ensemble +12 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G13I - GFDL Ensemble +13 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G14I - GFDL Ensemble +14 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G15I - GFDL Ensemble +15 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G16I - GFDL Ensemble +16 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G17I - GFDL Ensemble +17 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G002 - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control (Interpolated 12 hours)
G012 - GFDL Ensemble +01 member, unbogussed (Interpolated 12 hours)
G022 - GFDL Ensemble +02 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G032 - GFDL Ensemble +03 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G042 - GFDL Ensemble +04 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G052 - GFDL Ensemble +05 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G062 - GFDL Ensemble +06 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G072 - GFDL Ensemble +07 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G082 - GFDL Ensemble +08 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G092 - GFDL Ensemble +09 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G102 - GFDL Ensemble +10 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G112 - GFDL Ensemble +11 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G122 - GFDL Ensemble +12 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G132 - GFDL Ensemble +13 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G142 - GFDL Ensemble +14 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G152 - GFDL Ensemble +15 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G162 - GFDL Ensemble +16 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G172 - GFDL Ensemble +17 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFS
NWS / Global Forecast System
AVNO - NWS / Global Forecast System (GFS model)
( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AVNI - Previous cycle GFS, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
AVN2 - GFS Model (Interpolated 12 hours)
AVXO - GFS Model 10-day tracker
AVXI - GFS Model 10-day tracker (Interpolated 06 hours)
AVX2 - GFS Model 10-day tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
AC00 - GFS Ensemble Control Member
AP01 - GFS Ensemble +01 member
AP02 - GFS Ensemble +02 member
AP03 - GFS Ensemble +03 member
AP04 - GFS Ensemble +04 member
AP05 - GFS Ensemble +05 member
AP06 - GFS Ensemble +06 member
AP07 - GFS Ensemble +07 member
AP08 - GFS Ensemble +08 member
AP09 - GFS Ensemble +09 member
AP10 - GFS Ensemble +10 member
AP11 - GFS Ensemble +11 member
AP12 - GFS Ensemble +12 member
AP13 - GFS Ensemble +13 member
AP14 - GFS Ensemble +14 member
AP15 - GFS Ensemble +15 member
AP16 - GFS Ensemble +16 member
AP17 - GFS Ensemble +17 member
AP18 - GFS Ensemble +18 member
AP19 - GFS Ensemble +19 member
AP20 - GFS Ensemble +20 member
AN01 - GFS Ensemble -01 member
AN02 - GFS Ensemble -02 member
AN03 - GFS Ensemble -03 member
AN04 - GFS Ensemble -04 member
AN05 - GFS Ensemble -05 member
AEMN - GFS Ensemble Mean
( more )
NWS / Global Forecast System
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AEMI - GFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle AEMN, adjusted
NWS / Global Forecast System
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AEM2 - GFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
AMMN - GFS New Ensemble Mean
HFIP Stream 1.5 Models (with other related models) Grouped Together (GFDL Ensemble in separate group)
A4PS - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version
( more )
Penn State University 4.5 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
A4PI - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
PSU 4.5 km; TDR assimilated
Timeliness: Early version of A4PS
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
A4P2 - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version (Interpolated 12 hours)
AHW4 - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model)
( more )
NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research) / MMM (Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology) - SUNY (University at Albany)
4-km AHW
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
AHWI - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
NCAR / MMM - SUNY
4-km AHW
Timeliness: Early version of AHW4
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
AHW2 - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
NCAR / MMM - SUNY
4-km AHW
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
APSU - PSU ARW w/Doppler
( more )
Penn State University 3 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
APSI - PSU ARW w/Doppler (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
PSU 3 km; TDR assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
APS2 - PSU ARW w/Doppler (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
PSU 3 km; TDR assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
COTC - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model)
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
COTI - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model) (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of COTC
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
COT2 - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model) (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CTCX - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (experimental version)
( more )
CTCI - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (experimental version) (Interpolated 06 hours)
CTC2 - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (experimental version) (Interpolated 12 hours)
FIM9 - ESRL FIM (Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model)
( more )
Earth System Research Laboratory
15 km FIM
FM9I - ESRL FIM (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
15 km FIM
FM92 - ESRL FIM (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
15 km FIM
FIMY - ESRL FIM (Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model) 2011 version
( more )
Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model - EnKF (Ensemble Kalman Filter) initial conditions
GSD (NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems Division) FIM
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FIMI - ESRL FIM 2011 version (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model (Interpolated 06 hours) - EnKF initial conditions
GSD FIM
Timeliness: Early version of FIMY
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FIM2 - ESRL FIM 2011 version (Interpolated 12 hours)
H3GP - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
High-Resolution Triple Nested Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
NCEP/EMC-AOML/HRD
Resolution: 27/9/3 (Increased model resolution to 3 km near hurricane core)
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
H3GI - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF Model
Timeliness: Early version of H3GP
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
H3G2 - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
HWMN - HWRF Ensemble Mean
( more )
Computation of the ensemble mean applied when at least half of the members are present
HWMI - HWRF Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
HWM2 - HWRF Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
IV15 - HFIP intensity consensus (For 2014, consensus of at least two of: DSHP / LGEM / HWFI / GPMI / CXTI / UW4I)
( more )
NOAA's HFIP (Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program)
SPC3 - CSU-CIRA SPICE statistical intensity consensus (consensus ensemble of HWRF, GFDL and GFS operational models each with DSHIPS and LGEM)
( more )
SPC3 (Statistical Prediction of Intensity with a Consensus Ensemble (SPICE), 3 parent model version) is an HFIP experimental statistical model. Combination of 6 different models, SHIPS using results from operational GFDL, HWRF and GFS dynamical models and LGEM using output from same three dynamical models giving ensemble of 6 which is then averaged.
NHC Desc: CIRA SPICE 6-member statistical consensus of DSHP and LGEM with different initial conditions.
TV15 - HFIP track consensus (For 2014, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EGRI / HWFI / EMXI / GPMI)
( more )
NOAA's HFIP (Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program)
UWN4 - UW-NMS (University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System) 4km model
UW4I - UW-NMS 4km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
UW42 - UW-NMS 4km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
UWN8 - UW-NMS (University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System) 8km model
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
UWNI - UW-NMS 8km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of UWN8
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
UWN2 - UW-NMS 8km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
HFIP Stream 1.5 Models not in Techlist File (Listed in case they are used)
A1PS - PSU (Penn State University) 1 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A1PI - PSU 1 km; TDR assimilated (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of A1PS
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4NR - PSU (Penn State University) 4.5 km; No TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4NI - PSU 4.5 km; No TDR (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of A4NR
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4QI - PSU 4.5 km; TDR assimilated (Interpolated 06 hours) with GFDL interpolator
( more )
NHC Desc: PSU 4.5 km WRF-EnKF system with Doppler data assimilated. Early version of A4PS using GFDL interpolator.
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AHQI - NCAR Hurricane Regional Model (Interpolated 06 hours) using GFDL interpolator
( more )
NHC Desc: NCAR/MMM - SUNY 4-km WRF AHW. Early version of AHW4 using GFDL interpolator. Note that AHWI (standard interpolator) is identical to AHQI for track and was used in TV15.
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
ANPS - PSU (Penn State University) 3 km; No TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UWQI - University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System (Interpolated 06 hours) using GFDL interpolator
( more )
NHC Desc: University of Wisconsin 8 km. Early version of UWN8 using GFDL interpolator.
Parameters forecast: Intensity
HMON (Replacement for GFDL)
Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic model
HMON - Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic model
( more )
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (126hr), Runs on request from NHC/JTWC
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Horizontal Resolution: Grid Configuration, 3 nests (18-6-2 km)
Vertical Levels and Coordinate: 42, Hybrid Sigma-pressure
Convective Scheme Intensity Model Predictors: Simplified Arakawa-Schubert
HMNI - Previous cycle HMON, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWRF
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
HWRF - Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWFI - Previous cycle HWRF, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWF2 - HWRF model (Interpolated 12 hours)
HWFE - HWRF model with ECMWF fields
HWEI - HWRF model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 06 hours)
HWE2 - HWRF model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 12 hours)
HW3F - HWRF model [2013 version]
HW3I - HWRF model [2013 version] (Interpolated 06 hours)
HW32 - HWRF model [2013 version] (Interpolated 12 hours)
HHFI - HWRF model radii with bias correction phased out at 36h or removed entirely (based on AMS article)
( more )
JGSM
Japanese Global Spectral Model
JGSM - Japanese Global Spectral Model
JGSI - Japanese Global Spectral Model (Interpolated 06 hours)
JGS2 - Japanese Global Spectral Model (Interpolated 12 hours)
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) official forecast
JTWC - JTWC official forecast
JTWI - JTWC official forecast (Interpolated 06 hours)
LBAR (Retired in early 2017)
Limited Area Sine Transform Barotropic Model
LBAR - Limited Area Sine Transform Barotropic Model
( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
McAdie Radii CLIPER model
MRCL - McAdie Radii CLIPER model
( more )
CLImatology and PERsistence
MRCI - McAdie Radii CLIPER model
( more )
CLImatology and PERsistence (Interpolated 06 hours)
NAM
North American Mesoscale model
NAM - North American Mesoscale model
( more )
NWS / NAM model
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NAMI - NWS / NAM model (Interpolated 06 hours)
NAM2 - NWS / NAM model (Interpolated 12 hours)
NAVGEM
Navy Global Environmental Model
NVGM - Navy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM)
NVGI - NAVGEM (Interpolated 06 hours)
NVG2 - NAVGEM (Interpolated 12 hours)
NGX - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
NGXI - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
( more )
Navy Global Environmental Model
NGX2 - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours) - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
( more )
Navy Global Environmental Model
NHC Forecast (from ATCF Database)
National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast
OFCL - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast (in ATCF system and not from advisory data)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFCI - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast, in ATCF system and not from advisory data (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle OFCL, adjusted
Type: Interpolated
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFC2 - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast, in ATCF system and not from advisory data (Interpolated 12 hours)
NHC Provisional Forecast (from ATCF Database)
OFCP - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast (in ATCF system)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFPI - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast in ATCF system (Interpolated 06 hours)
OFP2 - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast in ATCF system (Interpolated 12 hours)
NHC-NCO PARA
KBMD - Beta and Advection model, deep (NHC-NCO PARA)
KBMM - Beta and Advection model, medium (NHC-NCO PARA)
KBMS - Beta and Advection model, shallow (NHC-NCO PARA)
KXTR - Extrapolation using past 12-hr motion (NHC-NCO PARA)
KCLP - CLImatology-PERsistence model 3-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KCL5 - CLImatology-PERsistence model 5-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KLBR - LBAR (NHC-NCO PARA)
KOCD - Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs (NHC-NCO PARA)
KSFR - SHIFOR intensity model 3-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KSF5 - SHIFOR intensity model 5-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KSHP - SHIPS model (NHC-NCO PARA)
KDSP - Decay SHIPS model (NHC-NCO PARA)
KLGM - SHIPS Logistic Growth Equation (LGE) forecast model (NHC-NCO PARA)
OHPC
NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) official forecast
OHPC - NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) official forecast
( more )
Formerly named the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC)
OOPC
NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) official forecast
OOPC - NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) official forecast
Rapid Intensity Aid
RI25 - Rapid Intensity Aid 25kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI30 - Rapid Intensity Aid 30kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI35 - Rapid Intensity Aid 35kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI40 - Rapid Intensity Aid 40kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
SHIFOR
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model
SHFR - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 3-day
SHF5 - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 5-day
( more )
SHIFOR5 (Climatology and Persistence model)
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
DSHF - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model
DSF5 - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 5-day
( more )
Decay-SHIFOR5 (Climatology and Persistence model)
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
SHIPS
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme
SHIP - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model
( more )
Type: Statistical-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
DSHP - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model
( more )
Type: Statistical-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
LGEM - SHIPS Logistic Growth Equation Model
SHPP - SHIPS model parallel (As of 2008, listed as: experimental - do not use)
DSPP - Decay SHIPS model parallel (As of 2008, listed as: experimental - do not use)
SHNS - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) not using IR profile predictors
DSNS - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) not using IR profile predictors
Trajectory and Beta Models
TABS - Trajectory and Beta Model, shallow layer (NHC)
TABM - Trajectory and Beta Model, medium layer (NHC)
TABD - Trajectory and Beta Model, deep layer (NHC)
UKMET MOGREPS-G (Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System)
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
UEMN - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Mean
( more )
Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
UEMI - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
UEM2 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
UE00 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Control Member
UE01 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +01 member
UE02 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +02 member
UE03 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +03 member
UE04 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +04 member
UE05 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +05 member
UE06 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +06 member
UE07 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +07 member
UE08 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +08 member
UE09 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +09 member
UE10 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +10 member
UE11 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +11 member
UE12 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +12 member
UE13 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +13 member
UE14 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +14 member
UE15 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +15 member
UE16 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +16 member
UE17 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +17 member
UE18 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +18 member
UE19 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +19 member
UE20 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +20 member
UE21 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +21 member
UE22 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +22 member
UE23 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Previous Control member
UKMET
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
EGRR - UKMET model GTS (Official), with subjective quality control applied to the tracker
( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EGRI - UKMET model GTS (Official), with subjective quality control applied to the tracker (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle EGRR, adjusted
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EGR2 - UKMET model GTS (Official), with subjective quality control applied to the tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKX - UKMET [GFS tracker]
UKXI - UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
UKX2 - UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKM - UKMET model (Developmental), automated tracker
( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UKMI - UKMET model, automated tracker (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle UKM, adjusted
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UKM2 - UKMET model, automated tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
KEGR - UKMET model GTS (2014 test)
( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
KEGI - UKMET model GTS (2014 test - Interpolated 06 hours)
KEG2 - UKMET model GTS (2014 test - Interpolated 12 hours)
XTRP - A simple extrapolation using past 12-hr motion
Deprecated Models (No Longer Used)
90AE - NHC-90 test
90BE - NHC-90 test
A98E - NHC-98 (Atlantic) statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A67 - NHC-67 statistical-synoptic model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A72 - NHC-72 statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A73 - NHC-73 statistic model
A83 - NHC-83 statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A90E - NHC-90 (Atlantic) (early) statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A90L - NHC-90 (Atlantic) (late) statistical-dynamical model
A9UK - NHC-98 (UKMET version)
AFW1 - Air Force Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model (MM5) Coarse resolution model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AF1I - Air Force MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model
AF12 - Air Force MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model
BAMA - BAM test A
BAMB - BAM test B
BAMC - BAM test C
CONE - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI, ECMI and GFNI models
CONI - Intensity Consensus Test only - Do Not Use!
CONU - NHC Multi-Model Consensus (Retired) - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI and GFNI models
CCON - Corrected CONU Consensus
ETA - ETA model
ETAI - ETA model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ETA2 - ETA model (Interpolated 12 hours)
FV5 - NASA fvGCM model
FVGI - NASA fvGCM model (Interpolated)
GENA - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, EGRI/2 and NGPI models
GFDC - GFDL coupled model
GFCI - GFDL coupled model (Interpolated)
GFDU - GFDL model (UKMET version)
GFUI - GFDL model (UKMET version) (Interpolated)
GTSI - GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours) Test only - Do Not Use!
GTS2 - GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours) Test only - Do Not Use!
GFDA - GFDL model with Aviation boundary layer parm
GUNA - Consensus Track Guidance (Consensus of all: AVNI / GHMI / EGRI / NGPI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
GUNS - Consensus of GFDI, UKMI and NGPI models
HCON - Intensity Consensus (GFDI+HWFI+GFNI)
HURN - HURRAN model
( more )
Type: Analog
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
INT4 - Intensity Consensus (DSHP+GFDI+GFNI+LGEM)
MFM - Medium Fine Mesh model
( more )
Type: Multi-level global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
MM36 - Air Force MM5 model
M36I - Air Force MM5 model (Interpolated)
MRFO - Medium Range Forecast (MRF) Run
NGM - Nested Grid Model
NGMI - NGM model (Interpolated)
NGPS - Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NGPI - Previous cycle NGPS, adjusted
( more )
NOGAPS model (Interpolated 06 hours)
Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NGP2 - NOGAPS model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System
OMPC - MPC official forecast
PSS - EP statistic-synoptic model
PSDL - EP statistic-dynamic model
PSDE - EP (early) statistic-dynamic model
P91L - EP NHC-91 (late) statistic-dynamic model
P91E - EP NHC-91 (Pacific) (early) statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
P9UK - EP NHC_91 (UKMET version)
QLM - Quasi-Lagrangian model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
QLMI - Quasi_Lagrangian model (Interpolated)
SBAR - SANBAR barotropic model
( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
VBAR - VICBAR
( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
VBRI - VICBAR model (Interpolated)