Abaco Island Bahamas history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named, not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)
Fort Myers most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and september 1st
Years within or near core
86 times in 152 yrs end of 2023

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=35, 40.70% H=51, 59.30%
only 26.74% of all tropical systems in Abaco are major hurricanes

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 1.77 years

longest gap between storms
21 years 1966-1986

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
once every 3.78 years (40h)(highest hurricane hit rate in database)

Average years between major hurricane hits.(21)
once every 7.19years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of 2024

Last affected by
2022 November 9th tropical storm Nicole passes over while moving west with 70mph winds.

This areas hurricane past
1871 Aug 15th 115 mph from the east. Hit map
1871 Aug 24th 105mph from the ESE
1879 Aug 17th 90mph from the SSE
1881 Aug 25th 90mph from the S.E just N.E of here
1883 105mph sept 9th from the south 106 killed in Bahamas passed just west of here
1887 Aug 22nd 120mph from the east
1893 Aug 26th 120mph from the ESE Hit map
1893 Oct 11th 120mph from the ESE Hit map
1895 Oct 22nd, 105mph from the SSW
1896 Sept 6th 115mph from the south Hit map
1899 Aug 12th 120mph from the SSE
1899 Oct 3oth, 95mph from the south
1906 Sept 6th 125mph just east from the S.E
1908 Oct 1st 110mph from the SW
1909 Oct 11th, 95mph from the WSW
1926 July 26th 125mph just south from the S.E
1926 Oct 21st, 115mph from the WSW just north
1928 Sept 16th 155mph just south from the ESE
1929 Sept 25th 120mph from the NE just south
1932 Sept 6th, 160mph (hurdat confirmed) area was hit by a major hurricane cat 5 with gusts up to 200mph the hurricane blew down 2 churches made of heavy stone 3 ft thick,pressure estimated at 27.60 inches. Families crawled from house to house as each was destroyed by high wind gusts up to 200mph.18 killed ,300 injured .
1933 July 29th, 85mph from the S.E
1933 sept 3rd, 140mph just south from the ESE
1933 Oct 5th, 145mph from the WSW press 29.06 highest gust 100mph,no deaths reported
1935 Sept 29th 115mph from the SW just north
1946 sept 13th, 75mph from the S.W
1947 Sept 17th, a major hurricane 125mph (hurdat)pummels area with 160mph gust's heavy damage.
1948 Oct 6th, 90mph from the SW just north
1949 Aug 26th 130mph just south while moving WNW
1951 May 18th Hurricane Able hits from the north with 85mph winds
1956 Aug 14th,110mph from the S.E just east
1965 sept 6th hurricane Betsy 125mph ,the area had hurricane force winds for over 20 hrs & a max wind of 147mph ,at hope town a gust of 178mph 14 mill damage in the Bahamas Damage photo | NHC wallet
1995 Aug 1st, hurricane ERIN hits the area as a cat 1 75mph from the ESE minor damage. NHC report
1996 July 10th,hurricane bertha 105mph to N.E from the SSE ,area had gusts to 95mph with flooding . NHC report
1999 Aug 27th hurricane Dennis hits northern parts with 80mph winds causing flooding,crop damage & sinking some boats.NHC report
1999 sept 14th hurricane Floyd hits with 145mph winds causing very heavy damage on the entire island. Immediately after hurricane ,Planes could not land due to too much debris and high storm surge flooding.Fox Town & northern settlements reported over 20ft storm surge. Many marinas were destroyed & 400 homes totally destroyed. Eye passage one hour in duration.Two thousand left homeless on the island.damage shot
2004, Sept 3rd Hurricane Frances hits with 105mph winds,reports of heavy damage but not as bad as Floyd in 1999. NHC report
2004,Sept 25th Hurricane Jeanne eye passes over north part of Island. 2nd hit in 3 weeks as Jeanne hits with 115mph winds. Treasure Cay International airport. The facility has been extensively damaged by Hurricanes Jeanne and Frances. Flood waters rose to more than six feet in some areas and roofs were blown off of houses.Part of roof at emergency operations center collapsed causing minor injuries to occupants.Sat image | Models 3 days before hitting
2011 Aug 25th Hurricane Irene passes over with 105mph winds while moving NNW causing moderate damage most of the island experienced no more than cat 2 winds. Hurricane Warning Show | Irene model history | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School). | aftermath video
2012 Oct 26th, Hurricane Sandy hits with 80mph winds from the SSE.Sandy model history | post NHC
2019, Sept 1st,Hurricane Dorian hits from the east with 185mph winds ravaging the area for over 24 hrs. The Health Minister in the Bahamas estimated that more than 200 people lost their lives in Dorian. The Bahamas Weather Service estimated the total at 74, with 63 these occurring in Abaco The Bahamas Weather Service also reported that there were 245 people missing at the time of their report 912mb.(per NHC report)Our coverage as it happened | Radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School). Final av model error | Dorian wind swath | Wayne Neely's book on Dorian | NHC report

Please keep these stats free donate to hurricanecity
Donate with PayPal

Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
See how all the cities rank,who gets affected most?

Home | Links | Live broadcast page | Back to city Database