Wilmington,North carolina's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
Wilmington most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 21st and september 27th
Years within or near core
1872ts,1873bdtsbr,1874bdbr,1876,1877bdxtropstbr,1878tsbr,1878,1879m,1880,1881,1882tsbr,1882br,1883,1885bd,1887-2brm,1888ts,1893bdts,1893,1894-2tsbd,1897tsbr,1899,1901ts,
1904tsbr,1906br,1907xtropts,1908,1910xtroptsbr,1910ts,1913-2tsbr,1916bdts,1916ts,1918tsbr,1920,1925xtropstbr,1928bdts,1934ts,1935bdtsbr,1944,1945ts,1946ts,1949ts(hurdat),
1954m,1955br,1955brm,1955,1958m,1960bdts,1960,1961ts,1962tsbr,1963br,1964bdts,1968br,1971-2tsbr,1981ts,1982subtropst,1984m,1985bdts,1986tsbr,1989brm,1995xtropstbd,1996ts,1996-2,
1996xtropst,1998m,1998xtropstbd,1999-2br,1999,2004,2005,2006ts,2007xtropst,2008ts,2011br,2013bdtsbr,2014br,2015ts,2016bdts,2016br,2018 ,2018bdtsbr,2019br,2020,2021bdtsbr,2022ts,2023bdtsbr,2023ts,(2024ts not in stats)
93 times in 152 yrs end of 2023






Names from list above
Hazel,Connie,Diane,Ione,Helene,Brenda,Donna,Alma,Ginny,Dora,Gladys,Doria,Ginger,Dennis,Diana,Kate,Charley,Hugo,Allison,Arthur,Bertha,Fran,Josephine,Bonnie,Earl,Dennis,
Floyd,Irene,Charley,Ophelia,Ernesto,Barry,Hanna,Irene,Andrea,Arthur,Ana,Hermine,Matthew,Florence,Michael,Dorian,Isaias,Elsa,Ian,Idalia,Ophelia,Debby,


Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=52, 55.91% H=41, 44.09%
only 10.59% of all tropical systems affecting Wilmington are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
9 years 1972-1980

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 1.63 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(25h)once every 6.08 years State stats

Average years between major hurricane hits.(5)
ev 30.4 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
97mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
impacted in 2024
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2024 Aug 8th tropical storm Debby passes well to the SW with 40mph winds at closest approach.

This areas hurricane past
1876 sept 17th 90mph just east while moving north
1878 Oct 22nd,105mph to the east from the south
1879 aug 18th a hurricane hits just east from the south with 115mph winds.
1880 Sept 9th just east with 80mph winds from the SW.
1881 Sept 9th ,105mph from the S.E
1883 sept 11th,85mph from the south nearly 100 killed.
1885 a back door hurricane hits with 90mph winds aug 25th from the WSW
1893 Oct 13th,95mph to the west from the south
1899 Oct 31st,100mph to the west from the south
1908 July 31st,80mph to the east from the south.
1920 Sept 22nd,75mph from the SSE
1944 Aug 1st ,75mph rep in Oak Island.
1954 hurricane Hazel oct 15th ,140mph(Hurdat) just west from the south. 8.2ft storm surge,even well inland up in Baltimore a 6 ft tide was reported ,Washington D.C 100mph.The winds & tides caused great destruction.The weather bureau at Wilmington N.C recorded a sustained 5 minute wind of 61mph with the fastest at 82mph & a gust to 98mph. The lowest pressure was 28.68 inches.The loss of homes in the carolinas was 1,635 homes destroyed and 16,655 damaged.Newspaper headlines | Hurricane Hazel page
1955 Hurricane Diane hits with 75mph winds Aug 17th (hurdat) while weakening to a tropical storm.
1958 Sept 27th hurricane Helene ,125mph (hurdat)from the S.E while turing N.E gusts to 135mph NNE mostly stayed offshore .Heavy damage reported at beach resorts.North winds of 85mph on the 27th at 1:01PM. Rainfall 8.29 inch tides 9ft.NHC notes | newspaper clip
1960 hurricane Donna just offshore sept 11th from the SSW with 110mph winds causing moderate damage here as peak winds were 97mph. more here
1984 sept 11th Hurricane Diana 120mph just east from the SSW before looping fully onshore as a cat 2. wind map | Newspaper article #1 | Newspaper article #2 | Newspaper article #3
1996 hurricane Bertha 105mph press 28.85 july 12th from the south. Richard Hordner surf city | Newspaper article | Radar | NHC final report
1996 hurricane Fran hits sept 5th with 105mph winds from the SSE most higher winds were to the north in Top sail beach.press 28.23 area had gusts to 105mph heavy damage to north in topsail bch area & surf city over 1 billion dollars damage 23 killed storm surge approx 16ft. Jim Leonard in Carolina beach | Newspaper headline | #2 | satelite image | Damage in Topsail | av model error | NHC final report | USGS surge info
1998 hurricane Bonnie august 26th ,115mph from the south while turning N.E,press 28.48 moderate damage. NHC final report | USGS surge info
1999 sept 16th Hurricane Floyd hit just east with 110mph winds from the south,dumps nearly 20 inches of rain here & causes heavy damage to north on oak island.New Hanover county reported 10 ft storm surge on sound side of Masonboro.A record 13.38 invhes fell in 24 hrs. Jim Leonard in Wilmington | NHC final report
2004 August 14th Hurricane Charley hits with 75mph winds from the SSW after hitting Florida, Minor structural damage.NHC final report
2005 Sept 14th Hurricane Ophelia passes just east with 85mph winds from the south,western eyewall over wilmington for a couple of hours. Widespread power outages & some minor roof damage & trees down. radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) Ophelia Satellite image "Wind damage caused by tropical storms and hurricanes can down the trees around your property. NHC final report
2018 Sept 14th,Hurricane Florence hits with 90mph winds while moving very slowly causing massive flooding killing 15 people in N Carolina. Wilmington gust to 105mph ,962MB up to 6 ft storm surge ,between 20 & 30 inches of rain.Best track data with final model error | River flooding maps | NOAA team looks at damage | Short range radar at landfall(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Our coverage as it happened
2020 Aug 4th Hurricane Isaias passes 20 miles to the west while moving NNE with 85mph winds . radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) Hit map

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Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............
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