(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given(since 1871).
Years
within or near core 1871,1874,1877ts,1878,1879br,1879ts,1882,1884br,1885ts,1887ts,1887br,1888m,1889ts,1891,1893brm,1896br,1899m,1900ts,1901tsbr,1903ts,1906brm,1908,1919,1921ts,1924, 1926-2m,1928ts,1928m,1932ts,1932-2brm,1933br,1933m,1933brm,1935tsbr,1938ts,1939ts,1940tsbr,1941ts,1942ts,1945m,1946ts,1952tsbr,1954,1956brm,1959tsbr,1960m,1963, 1981-3ts,1985,1995tsbr,1996br,2004m,2005ts,2008tsbr,2008brm,2011m,2012br,2015m,2016brm,2017m,2020br 65 times in 152yrs end of 2023
Names from list
above Charlie,Hazel,Betsy,Gracie,Donna,Flora,Arlene,Gert,Katrina,kate,Erin,Lili,Frances,Rita,Hanna,Ike,Irene,Sandy,Joaquin,Matthew,Irma,Isaias,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=26, 40% H=39, 60%
Longest gap between storms 17 years 1963-1981
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.34 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours) once every 6.57 years (23h)
Average years between major hurricane hits.(13) once every 11.62 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 114mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next due in 2024
Last affected by 2020 July 31st Hurricane Isaias brushes to south while moving N.W with 75mph winds.
This areas hurricane past 1871, Aug 23rd,105mph just north from the ESE 1874 Nov 3rd,80mph from the SSW 1878 Sept 29th,90mph from the south just east 1882 Sept 3rd, 90mph from the ESE 1888 sept 3rd,125mph from the ESE passed just south many killed. Hit Map 1891 Aug 22nd,95mph from the ESE 1899 Aug 10th,120mph from the ESE just south 1908 Sept 12th, 110mph from the ESE just south 1919 Sept 7th,105mph just north from the ESE 1924 Nov 11th 80mph from the S.W 1926 July 25th 125mph from the SE 427 homes destroyed.
1926 sept 17th 150mph winds eye passed just north from the ESE .Storm surge killed many and mass graves were used to bury the dead. 1928 Sept 15th,155mph from the ESE 1933 Sept 3rd passes just north with 140mph winds,nearly every home severely damaged. Fourteen people drowned with 8 missing. 1945 Sept 14th, 120mph from the ESE 1954 Hurricane Hazel passes just east with 105mph winds while moving north on Oct 14th. 1960 in september 8th hurricane Donna
hit with 120mph winds (hurdat)for 13 hrs totally destroying the island,90% of homes suffered extreme damage more here | Gordon Dunn talks about forecasting Donna | NHC wallet 1963 Oct 8th,hurricane
Flora hits with 85mph from the WSW just south causing moderate to heavy damage. NHC wallet 1985 Nov 18th, 90mph hurricane kate passes just south from the east. NHC wallet
2004,Sept 2nd Hurricane Frances passes just North with 145mph winds,causing minor to moderate damage here from the ESE, one death in Bahamas.NHC report
2011, Aug 24th Hurricane Irene passes over while moving WNW with 115mph winds causing heavy damage.Extreme heavy damage up to 90% NEMA said that 90 percent of the settlement at Lovely Bay, Acklins has been wiped out. Irene model history
2015 Oct 2nd Hurricane Joaquin hits the north part of the island while turning north with 130mph winds.Seven or eight homes reported totally destroyed with reports of many untility poles down. Significant flooding in Delectable Bay, Snug Corner in the North and Mason’s Bay. Five houses were destroyed in Mason’s Bay and four in Snug Corner. Power outages, no injuries reported and all residents accounted for. NHC final report | Wind bar graph
2017 Sept 8th Hurricane Irma hits just south by 59 miles with 150mph winds while moving west,wide spread damage reported. NHC report
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