Dominica's history with tropical
systemsCurrent weather(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
within or near core
2011ts,2012tsbr,2013tsbr,2014ts,2015tsbr,2016tsbr,2017m,2018ts,2018tsbr,(2021br not in stats)
times in 149 yrs end of 2020
Names from list
|Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio |
TS=36, 61.02% H=23, 38.98%
Longest gap between storms
10 years 1935-1944
How often this area gets
brushed or hit every 2.53 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.
once every 9.87 years(15h)
Average years between major hurricane hits.(9)
once every 16.44 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
Statistically when this area should be affected
impacted in 2021
2021 July 2nd Hurricane Elsa passes well to the south by 117miles with 75mph winds.
This areas hurricane past
1883 Sept 4th 125mph winds from the ESE just south Hit map
1891 Aug 18th 125mph from the S.E Hit map
1893 Aug 15th 80mph from the S.E
1894 Sept 20th 115mph from the ESE Hit map
1896 Aug 30th 80mph from the S.E
1899 Aug 7th 145mph winds just north while moving WNW
1916 Aug 28th a strengthening tropical storm becomes a hurricane 85mph from the east.The hurricane advanced over the island
with but little warning; a number of lives were lost and much property was
destroyed on the northern and eastern sides It was evidently of small
diameter and great intensity while passing over Dominica.
1928 Sept 12th 125mph winds just north from the ESE
1930 Sept 1st, 90mph winds hit
the area from the east.
1956 Aug 11th 95mph from the ESE
1964 Aug 22nd, Hurricane Cleo passes just north from the ESE with 130mph winds. NHC Wallet
1966 sept 27th Hurricane Inez hits from the east with 125mph winds just north. NHC Wallet
1979 Aug 30th,hurricane David hits, 145mph ,56 killed,5000 injured and 75% left homeless. Damage photo | mountains stripped | homes destroyed | David page
1995 Sept 15th hurricane Marilyn hits from the SE with
80mph winds area reports sustained winds of 72mph for 10 minutes,some roofs
blown off press 29.06 . Disaster survey report
2017 Sept 18th Hurricane Maria hits direct with 165 mph winds 922mb ,22.8 inches of rain causing very heavy damage .Maria caused 31 direct deaths in Dominica with 34 missing . VIA NHC report Maria caused catastrophic damage in Dominica, with the majority of structures seriously
damaged or destroyed, and most trees and vegetation were downed and/or defoliated. According
to media reports, the estimated damage total in Dominica is at least $1.31 billion. The agricultural
sector was essentially eliminated. The once-lush tropical island was effectively reduced to an
immense field of debris. In a Facebook post just after the hurricane hit, Dominica’s Prime Minister,
Roosevelt Skerrit, described the damage as “mind-boggling”. The roofs of the majority of
buildings and homes were either damaged or blown off. There was extensive damage to roads.
Power, phone, and internet service was cut off, leaving the country almost incommunicado with
the outside world. Canefield Airport (TDCF) gust to 133mph Douglas–Charles Airport sustained 150mph.Probabilistic tracks | Main models | MJO as Maria was hitting | Before & after photos | roof damage | Raseau damage | Our coverage | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School). | NHC report
Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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