Guadeloupe's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Guadeloupe most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 24th and August 30th

Years within or near core

1871m
1872ts
1880ts
1883brm
1888ts
1889
1889-2ts
1891brm
1893
1894brm
1896ts
1898br
1899m
1899
1906br
1908
1909
1910br
1915
1916
1916ts
1922br
1924
1928m
1930
1932ts
1945tsbr
1949tsbr
1950-2
1951ts
1956
1959ts
1960brm
1961ts
1963ts
1964m
1966m
1979m
1981tsbr
1989m
1990tsbr
1995ts
1995brm
1995
1996br
1996ts
1998m
1999br
1999tsbr
2009ts
2011-2tsbr
2012ts
2014tsbr
2015ts
2017brm
2017m
2018ts
2020tsbr
2021ts
2022ts
2023tsbr
2023br
2024ts

66 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Since 1990 activity / trends for tropical storms and hurricanes is up for Guadeloupe

Names from list above (I storms most likely to impact the area)

Baker
Dog
Edna
Betsy
Edith
Donna
Frances
Helena
Cleo
Inez
David
Gert
Hugo
Klaus
Iris
Luis
Marilyn
Bertha
Hortense
Georges
Jose
Lenny
Erika
Irene
Maria
Isaac
Bertha
Erika
Irma
Maria
Isaac
Laura
Grace
Fiona
Philippe
Tammy
Ernesto

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 31, 46.97%
H = 35, 53.03%

only 25.42% of all tropical systems affecting Guadeloupe are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms

12 years 1933-1944 & 1967-1978

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 2.32 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.

Once every 6.95 years. (22 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

Once every 17 years. (9 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

107 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Before the end of 2027

This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year.

Last affected by

2024 August 13th Tropical storm Ernesto hits with 40 mph winds while moving west-northwest.

This area's hurricane history

1871 August 21st 115 mph moving west-northwest passing just north. Hit map
1889 September 2nd 80 mph from the southeast
1893 August 16th, 85 mph from the southeast
1899 August 7th, 150 mph from the east-southeast causing significant destruction. Hit map
1899 August 30th, 80 mph from the east
1908 September 25th, 75 mph from the east-southeast
1909 August 21st 85 mph from the east-southeast
1915 August 10th, 90 mph from the east
1916 August 28th 90 mph 17 miles to south moving west clipped south end
1924 August 28th 75 mph from the east-southeast
1928 a category 4 caused great damage to the area September 12th pressure 27.76 with 140 mph winds (HURDAT). 1,500 killed here, 11 ft storm surge, eye passes directly overhead.The storm destroyed nearly every building in Guadeloupe. In neighboring Montserrat 42 dead & 5,000 homeless.
1930 September 1st, 95 mph from the east-southeast
1950 August 21st, Hurricane Baker hits from the east with 95 mph winds
1950 September 1st Hurricane Dog hits from the southeast with 105 mph winds just north
1956 Hurricane Betsy August 11th devastates the area with 110 mph winds from the east-southeast, kills 6 here
1964 August 22nd, 130 mph from the east-southeast Hurricane Cleo kills 14 people here.At Raizet Airport 15m north of eye min pressure 29.62 44 mph gusts to 81 mph. 1,000 homes destroyed. NHC Wallet
1966 Hurricane Inez September 27th 120 mph winds from the east, 27 killed 600 injured. NHC Wallet
1979 August 29th Hurricane David passes just south from the east-southeast with 145 mph winds. NHC Wallet
1989 Hurricane Hugo passes over north part of Island September 17th with 140 mph winds from the east-southeast. 10,000 homes destroyed, leaving 35,000 of the island's 340,000 people homeless. Four people died and 107 were injured, total damage to the island from Hugo amounted to $880 million. Newspaper headline
1995 Hurricane Marilyn September 14th just southwest with 80 mph winds, pressure 29.03 inHg, minimal damage from the southeast. Disaster survey report
1998 September 20th Hurricane Georges passes just northeast from the east-southeast with 115 mph winds. NHC Report
2017 September 19th Hurricane Maria passes just 40 miles to the south while moving northwest with 160 mph winds. No sustained hurricane force winds reported on island Gourbeyre Gros-Morne Dole reported gust to 101 mph but not sustained hurricane force. South tip of island affected by HF northern bands for only a short time. In Guadeloupe, two direct fatalities are attributed to Maria: one person died from a falling tree, and another was swept out to sea. Hurricane-force wind gusts and heavy rain caused a great deal of damage, especially along the southern portions of Basse-Terre Island. An estimated 80,000 homes were without electricity, and almost the entire banana crop was destroyed. An estimated $120 million in damage was reported for Guadeloupe. Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC report

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......