Manzanillo, Cuba's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Manzanillo most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 24th and August 30th

Years near or within core winds

1873ts
1874tsbr
1875
1876bdts
1878bdtsbr
1880ts
1886
1887tsbr
1887br
1894
1899ts
1900ts
1901-2tsbr
1904
1909bd
1924tsbr
1927ts
1928ts
1930tsbr
1932brm
1933tsbr
1934ts
1935ts
1950br
1955ts
1958
1963m
1964
1966
1975ts
1980brm
1981ts
1998br
2000tsbr
2005m
2007bdtsbr
2008ts
2008bdbrm
2020ts
2021tsbr

41 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above (E storms most likely to impact the area)

King
Hilda
Ella
Flora
Cleo
Inez
Eloise
Allen
Arlene
Georges
Debby
Dennis
Noel
Fay
Ike
Laura
Elsa

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 25, 60.98%
H = 16, 39.02%

only 12.82% of all tropical systems affecting Manzanillo are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms

16 years 1982-1997

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 3.73 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits. (usually within 40 miles to include small hurricanes)

Once every 15.30 years. (10 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

Once every 76.5 years. (2 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

92 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Before the end of 2025

This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year.

Last affected by

2021 July 4th Tropical storm Elsa passes to south by 55 miles with 60 mph winds while moving northwest.

This area's hurricane history

1875 September 13th 105 mph from the southeast approximately 160 killed in Cuba passed just South of here from the east-southeast
1886 August 16th, 90 mph from the east-southeast
1894 September 23rd, 80 mph from the east-southeast
1904 June 13th, 75 mph from the south-southwest
1909 August 24th, 75 mph from the east
1958 September 2nd, 85 mph (HURDAT) from the east-southeast, Hurricane Ella. NHC Wallet
1963 October 5th, Hurricane Flora hits with 120 mph winds from the east wipes out sugar crop kills 1,000. Newspaper article
1964 August 25th, Hurricane Cleo psses just south of here with 80 mph winds from the east-southeast.Hurricane hunter aircraft reports heavy damage to wings. NHC Wallet
1966 September 30th, Hurricane Inez passes just north from the east-southeast with 75 mph winds. NHC Wallet
2005 July 8th, Hurricane Dennis hits while moving northwest passing just south with 130 mph winds.President Fidel Castro said 10 people, including an 18-day-old baby and 95-year-old man, were killed in the provinces of Granma and Santiago after Dennis raked Cuba's south coast on Thursday. Cuban officials said about 6,000 homes had been damaged or destroyed by the storm in the province of Granma where 24-foot storm surges were reported. Just to the south in Cabo Cruz instruments measured sustained winds of 133 mph gusts to 148 mph 956 mb. NHC report

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......