(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.(since 1871) Years
within or near core 1871-2,1872bdts,
1873bd,1876bd,1880,1885,1892tsbd,1893-2m,1894bdbr,1897bdts,1899brm,1903tsbr,1910bdtsbr,1915tsbr,1925xtropstbd,1926,1928,1928m,1933brm,1933br,1937tsbr,1939br,1945bdbrm, 1949m,1950bd,1951bdts,1953bdts,1956ts(hurdat),1960bdm,1960bdtsbr(hurdat),1964ts,1964bdbr,1968bdts,1979,1981bdts,1983ts,1984tsbr,1985ts,1988bdts,1994tsbd,1995,1995ts, 1998bdtsbr,1999br,2001tsbdbr,2004,2004m,2005bdbr,2008bdts,2016bdtsbr,2016m,2017bdbr,2019br,2020tsbr,2022bdts,2022br,2024mbr,2024bd 60 times in 153 yrs end of 2024
Names from list above I storms most likely to impact the area king,How,Hazel,Donna,Cleo,Isbell,Abby,David,Dennis,Barry,Isidore,Bob,Keith,Gordon,Erin,Jerry,Mitch,Irene,Gabrielle,Frances,Jeanne,Wilma,Fay,Colin,Matthew,Irma,Dorian,Eta,Ian,Nicole,Helene,Milton,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=27, 45% H=33, 55%
Longest gap between storms 10 years 1969-1978
How often Melbourne gets affected? brushed or
hit every 2.55 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours) (19h)once every 8.05 years state stats
Average years between major hurricane hits.(7) once every 21.86 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 103 mph
Statistically when Melbourne should be affected
next before the end of 2027
Last affected by 2024 Oct 10th hurricane Milton hits just north by 18 miles at closest approach with 90mph winds while moving offshore.
Melbourne's hurricane past 1871 Aug 18th a 100mph hurricane passes by to the West while moving north 1871,a week later Aug 25th a 90mph cane comes ashore while heading NW 1873 Oct 7th a cat 1 hits from the SW with 90mph winds after hitting ft myers as a cat 3 1876 Oct 20th 90mph from the S.W reports of eye over the area
still in dispute reported gusts from the east at 100mph sept 15th
1880 aug 29, 105mph winds from the east heavy flooding. 1885 Aug 24th, 90 mph just east from the south 1893 Aug 27th,120mph winds just east from the S.E Hit map 1893 Oct 12th,120mph just east while turning north from the ESE. Hit map 1926 July 28th 90mph from the SSE 1928 a 100mph hurricane just south from the S.E causes heavy damage aug 7th
1928 Sept 16th a hurricane with 130mph slams ashore 40 miles to south from the S.E.Newspaper article#1 | #2 | #3 | #4 1949 Aug 27th, 120mph from the S.E just south 1950 hurricane King 15 miles to west oct 18th with 75mph winds causes minor damage here. track 1960 Sept 11th Hurricane Donna hits well west of here with 115mph winds from the south. NHC Wallet 1979 Sept 3rd,hurricane David hits direct with 95mph winds press 28.75
minor damage from the south. NHC Wallet 1995 Aug 2nd hurricane erin hits with 85mph winds from the ESE 350,000
without power hits at low tide minor damage. radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) Newspaper article
2004 Sept 5th, Hurricane Frances hits with 105mph winds. Many trees down,signs damaged power out for days a very large & slow moving hurricane,tree down at house on 810 cedar drive.fences down, damage to car.Cape canaveral Mercury redstone rocket tipped over.Newspaper headline | models 5 days out | USGS surge info | radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)
2004 Sept 26th, Hurricane Jeanne hits with 120mph winds just south by 45 miles,moderate damage to area, second hurricane in 22 days.Models 4 days before hitting | USGS surge info | radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) .
2016 Oct 7th,Hurricane Matthew passes just east with 120mph winds while moving NNW.In Brevard County, which was the portion of Florida closest to Matthew’s center, 11 homes
were destroyed, 140 sustained major damage, 549 experienced minor damage, and 939
additional homes were adversely affected in some way (per NHC) radar courtesy of Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School | Matthew timeline | NHC final report | USGS surge info
2024 Oct 10th hurricane Milton hits just north by 18 miles at closest approach with 90mph winds while moving offshore.
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