Negril,Jamaica's history with tropical
systemscurrent weather(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
times in 150yrs end of 2021
Names from list above
|Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio |
TS=21, 47.73% H=23, 52.27%
Longest gap between storms
28 years 1951-1980
How often this area gets
brushed or hit every 3.41 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(13h)once every 11.54 years
Average years between major hurricane hits.(8)
once every 18.75 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
Statistically when this area should be affected
before the end of 2025
2021 Aug 17th Tropical storm Grace hits from the east with 55mph winds while moving NWN
This areas hurricane
1895 Aug 25th, 95mph just south from the ESE
1896 Sept 26th, 85mph just south from the ESE
1903 Aug 11th, 120mph from the ESE
1912 Nov 18th,press
965mb 115mph winds from the SSW very high tides kill 100,---20,000 homes destroyed in west Jamaica.
1915 Aug 13th,115mph from the ESE passes just north
1916 Aug 16th, 110mph from theESE
1933 october 29th,95mph winds from the south
press 29.00 10 killed.
1935 Sept 27th,115mph just west from the south
1944 Aug 20th, 90mph from the ESE
1951 hurricane Charlie 125mph (hurdat) aug 18th from the ESE 154 killed in jamaica,50,000 homeless.
1988 Sept 13th,hurricane Gilbert hits with 115mph winds while
moving west hits direct from the east causing very heavy damage killing 23 in
jamaica. newspaper article | satelite photo | av model error.
2004 ,sept 11th hit by Hurricane Ivan with 145mph winds moving just to the south from the ESE with Ivan having a wind field approx 85 miles out,heavy damage in this area. NHC report
2007 Aug 19th Hurricane Dean passes approx 35 to 40 miles to the south while moving west with 145mph winds. Most of the damage reported are to the roofs of several houses, which were hit by very heavy winds and fallen trees. There are also minor damage to some roadways across the parish and many were made impassable due to several fallen trees and poles. Two of the parish's major markets, Savanna-la-Mar and Grange Hill, were severely damaged by heavy winds. Hurricane warning show | Newspaper article
Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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