Panama City,Florida's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
Panama city most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 7th and september 13th
Years within or near core
1871tsbr,1875ts,1877br,1877m,1878ts,1879tsbr,1880bd,1882,1885-2ts,1886br,1887br,1889tsbr,1894m,1896,1898ts,1899bdbr,1901tsbr,1902tsbr,1903,1906ts,1907-2ts,1911br,1915,1917m,
1919tsbr,1924,1926m,1929ts,1936,1939ts,1941bdbr,1948ts,1953ts,1953tsbr,1953,1956ts,1957tsbr,1964bdtsbr,1964bdxtropst,1965ts,1966bdbr,1970tsbr,1972,1975m,1985m,1985,1994-2ts,
1995br,1995m,1998,2000tsbr,2001ts,2005brm,2008tsbd,2009ts,2012tsbr,2017tsbdbr,2018ts,2018m,2019tsbr,2020bdtsbr,2021ts ,(2024mbr not in stats)
65 times in 152 yrs end of 2023






Names from list above
Alice,Florence,Flossy,Debbie,Dora,Hilda,Alma,Becky,Agnes,Eloise,Elena,kate,Beryl,Allison,Erin,Opal,Earl,Helene,Barry,Dennis,Fay,Claudette,Debby,Irma,Alberto,Michael,Nestor,Sally,Fred,Helene,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=37, 56.92% H=28, 43.08%
only 14.52% of all tropical systems affecting Panama city are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
9 years 1976-1984

How often this area gets affected?
Panama city brushed or hit every 2.34 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force wind gusts for a few hours)
(19h)once every 8 years state stats

Average years between direct major hurricane hits.(major hurricane at adv upon passage)
(8) Every 19 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds at closest approach, not gusts)
104mph

Statistically when Panama City should be affected next
brushed in 2024

Last affected by
2024 Sept 26th major hurricane Helene hits perry FL 93 miles to the east with 140mph winds while moving NNE.

Panama city's hurricane past
1877, 115mph Oct 2nd from the S.W. Hit map
1880 Aug 31st, 75mph from the ESE
1882 Sept 10th,110mph from the S.W passes to the west
1894 Oct 9th,120mph from the S.W
1896 july 7th causes heavy damage 95mph from the SSW just west
1903 Sept 13th,90mph from the south
1915 Sept 4th 90mph from the south.
1917 Sept 28th, 115mph 50 miles to the west while moving NE.
1924 sept 15th 75mph from the WSW.
1926 Sept 20th,125mph to the south from the ESE
1936 july 31st a storm surge of 6 ft bar 28.47 95mph from the SSE passes just west
1953 florence sept 26th,sustained winds of 90mph(hurdat) while just west of here,press 29.35 from the S.W.
1972 Agnes 85mph July 19th from the south.
1975 sept 23rd hurricane Eloise hits just west of here with 130mph winds from the SSW.Winds here were gusting over 130mph &a 16 ft storm surge caused very heavy dmage. NWS report
1985 Sept 1st 125mph to the south Hurricane Elena from the ESE
1985 Nov 21st, 90mph Hurricane Kate hits just south from the SW. hit map
1995 opal oct 4th 115mph winds hit to west area has bad damage when it hit ft walton bch 50 homes destroyed in mexico bch to west.av model error | FEMA declaration map
1998 Sept 3rd hurricane Earl hits in early sept with 80mph winds moving from s.w fast causes minor to moderate damage here.
2018 Oct 10th,Hurricane Michael passes over with 160mph winds while moving N.E causing heavy destruction 15 deaths in Bay County. Our video documentary of Michael as it happened | our short version eye/eyewall of Michael | cell phone video from eyewall | Michael eyewall width chart at landfall | Comfort Suites damage | Comfort Suites before/after | Panarama video from hotel | Callaway damage | Waffle House | before & after photos USGS | NWS Tallahassee final reports | NOAA team looks at damage | Hurricane Researchers ashes spread in Michael | tree damage 5 months later | CIMSS blog as it happens | Aerial damage from Mexico beach | CIMSS visible landfall animation | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Map position of Michael at landfall | Wind band map | model track errors (per NHC) | Recon data | Intensity model errors | NHC report

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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