(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given. Years
within or near core 1873,1875,1878tsbr,1886br,1887ts,1896tsbr,1898tsbr,1901ts,1903brm,1905ts,1908tsbr,1910,1915,1917,1928br,1931ts,1932ts,1933ts,1944m,1954m,1958,1963m,1964m,1966brm,1967br,1974tsbr, 1980m,1988m,2006,2007brm,2008,2010br,2012tsbr,2015ts,2016m,2020bdts,2021ts,2021tsbr,2024mbr 39
times in 153yrs end of 2024
Names from list
above E storms most likely to impact area Hazel,Ella,Flora,Cleo,Inez,Beulah,Carmen,Allen,Gilbert,Ernesto,Dean,Gustav,Tomas,Isaac,Erika,Matthew,Laura,Elsa,Grace,Beryl,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=16,41.03% H=23,58.97%
Longest gap between storms 10 years 1917-1928
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 3.92 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force wind gusts for a few hours) (15h)once every 10.2 years
Average years between major hurricane hits.(7) once ev 21.86 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 115mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2028
Last affected by 2024 July 3rd hurricane Beryl brushes to the south by 91 miles with 145 mph winds while moving WNW.
This areas hurricane past 1873 ,110mph sept 28th from the S.E just north. 1875 ,105mph from the ESE sept 12th 1910 Sept 8th,80mph from the east passes just south 1915 Aug 12th,105mph from the ESE passes just south 1917 Sept 22nd,95mph from the ESE passes just south 1944 Aug 20th,120mph to the south from the ESE 1954 Hazel hit oct 11th with 125mph winds & the city
of Jacmel was under water from heavy rains between 400 & 1,000 killed,40% of coffee crops destroyed from the south..Hurricane Hazel page 1958 sept 1st hurricane Ella press 29.20, 110mph 30 killed from the S.E 1963 Oct 3rd,hurricane Flora
hits with 130mph winds from the SSE killing 5,000 due to heavy rain reports as much as 57
inches of rain in 3 days & a 12 ft storm surge. News video 1964 aug 24th hurricane Cleo hits with 150mph winds from the ESE
killing 192 from flooding & storm surge,an 18 mile wide swath of destruction press 28.03 4 days of hurricane force winds.Hurricane hunter aircraft reports heavy damage to wings. NHC Wallet 1980 hurricane allen aug 5th 160mph winds here just south from the ESE , 220 killed press 27.88. One half million homeless and damage estimates of 400 Million. 1988 Sept 12th,Hurricane Gilbert passes to south with 125mph winds from the ESE
2006 On Aug 27th,Ernesto breifly became a cat 1 .75mph Hurricane while moving N.W just SW of here.5 killed in Haiti hundreds of homes damaged.
2008 Aug 26th Hurricane Gustav hits just north with 90mph while weakening to T.S while slowly moving W.N.W killing 51 in Haiti due to flooding. Gustav model history
2016 ,Oct 4th Hurricane Matthew hits with 145mph winds while moving north devestating this area. As of 2017 reports as many as 546 killed.Tremendous rainfall occurred across the central and western portions of the Tiburon
Peninsula, and also over northwestern Haiti, with some locations receiving more than 20 inches. At least 210,000 homes were either destroyed or severely damaged, with about 90% of
the houses along the southern coast of the Tiburon Peninsula having been destroyed. More than 350,000 animals in the area
were also killed(per NHC) Radar courtesy of Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School | Matthew timeline | hit map | Jeff Masters on structural damage | NHC final report
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