Punta Allen, Mexico's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Punta Allen most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and September 6th

Years within or near core

1874tsbr
1879
1880tsbr
1880br
1887br
1887ts
1888tsbr
1889
1893ts
1893-2br
1895ts
1898tsbr
1903brm
1905ts
1906ts
1916br
1920ts
1928ts
1931tsbr
1933tsbr
1933
1934
1938
1944
1947ts
1951m
1955
1967br
1974brm
1988brm
1988ts
1990ts
1995m
1996tsbr
2005brm
2005ts
2005m
2007brm
2011ts
2012br
2017ts
2020tsbr
2020ts
2020brm
2020br
2021br
2024br
2024tsbr

49 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above (D storms most likely to impact the area)

Charlie
Hilda
Beulah
Carmen
Gilbert
Keith
Diana
Roxanne
Dolly
Emily
Stan
Wilma
Dean
Rina
Ernesto
Franklin
Cristobal
Gamma
Delta
Zeta
Grace
Beryl
Nadine

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 23, 46.81%
H = 26, 53.19%

only 19.57% of all tropical systems affecting Punta Allen are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms

13 years 1975-1987

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 3.12 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits. (hurricane force wind gusts for a few hours)

Once every 15.30 years. (10 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

Once every 51 years. (3 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

106 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Before the end of 2027

This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year.

Last affected by

2024 October 19th Tropical Storm Nadine brushes well to the south by 131 miles at closest approach with 50 mph winds.

This area's hurricane history

1879 August 20th, 80 mph from the east-southeast
1889 September 17th, 110 mph from the East passes just south
1933 September 22nd, 105 mph just north from the east-southeast
1934 June 8th, 80 mph from the south.
1938 August 25th, 95 mph from the east-southeast
1944 August 22nd, 90 mph from the east-southeast just north
1951 Hurricane Charlie hits August 19th with 130 mph winds just north from the east-southeast
1955 September 16th Hurricane Hilda hits with 110 mph winds from the east
1995 October 10th, Hurricane Roxanne hits just north with 115 mph winds from the east
2005, October 21st Hurricane Wilma passes by to the northeast while moving northwest by nearly 60 miles. Extensive damage to areas south of Cozumel even more so than from Hurricane Emily earlier in the year.At this time Wilma had winds of 140 mph & was moving very slowly. Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......