Saint Lucia's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).



Years within or near core
1872ts,1875,1876ts,1880ts,1883brm,1886ts,1886,1887-2ts,1888ts,1891m,1894brm,1894,1895ts,1895tsbr,1896-2tsbr,1898,1898tsbr,1903,1918tsbr,1921br,1941ts,1942ts,1943ts,1944tsbr,
1948ts,1949ts,1951,1960ts,1963,1966ts,1967ts,1970tsbr,1979brm,1980m,1987tsbr,1994tsbr,1995ts,2001tsbr,2001ts,2002tsbr,2007,2010,2012ts,2013ts,2016ts,2017ts,2018ts,2019ts,(2021br not in stats)
50 times in 149 yrs end of 2020






Names from list above
Dog,Abby,Edith,Judith,Beulah,Dorothy,David,Allen,Emily,Debby,Iris,Chantal,Jerry,Lili,Dean,Tomas,Ernesto,Chantal,Matthew,Harvey,Kirk,Dorian,Elsa,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=35, 70% H=15, 30%

Longest gap between storms
19 years 1922-1940

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.98 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.
once every 13.45 years (11h)

Average years between major hurricane hits.(2)
once every 74 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
100 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
impacted in 2021
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2021 July 2nd Hurricane Elsa brushes just south by 34 miles while moving WNW with 75mph winds. .

This areas hurricane past
1875, 90mph sept 9th just north
1886 Aug 16th, 105mph from the ENE passes just south
1891 Aug 18th, 125mph just north from the ESE Hit map
1894 Oct 12th 95mph from the S.E
1898 Sept 11th, 110mph just south from the S.E
1903 Aug 9th 95mph just north from the east
1951 Sept 2nd Dog 75mph (hurdat) from the east
1963 Sept 25th,hurricane Edith hits with 90mph winds press 28.88 10 killed from the ESE. NHC Wallet
1980 hurricane Allen eye passes just south Allen had 130mph winds at the time aug 4th very heavy damage. Six reported killed with 235 million in damage. NHC Wallet
2007 Aug 17th,Hurricane Dean passes between Martinique and St Lucia with 100mph winds.The roof at the Children's Ward of the Victoria Hospital had been blown off and roads had been blocked with debris. The two airports on the island had been closed and eyewitnesses told the Caribbean Media Corporation (CMC) that boulders used as "wave breakers" at the sea ports in Castries had been pushed unto the nearby John Compton Highway. Strong winds and heavy seas caused extensive damage along the north and west coasts of St. Lucia, including damage to bridges, roofs, and utility poles. Damage there was estimated at $18 million.Was moving west at nearly 25mph while passing through.One death reported in St Lucia.NHC Report
2010, Oct 30th Hurricane Tomas passes just south with 80mph winds while moving west. As of Nov 2nd 5 confirmed deaths here over 100 million dollars damage mostly by mud slides. Fly over of damage courtesy of NEMO | Model performance | Radar animation



Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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