Saint Thomas & Saint John Virgin Island's history with tropical systems
Current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named, not every stat on every storm description is given.

Years within or near core
69 times in 151yrs end of 2022

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=28, 40.58% H=41, 59.42%

Longest gap between storms
12 years 1967-1978

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.19 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(21h)once every 7.19 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(9)
once every 16.78 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
112 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of 2024
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2022 Sept 18th tropical storm Fiona brushes well south by 96 miles with 65mph winds while drifting WNW.

This areas hurricane past

1871 Aug 21st,115mph from the ESE, 27 killed in the virgin islands. Hit map
1876 sept 13th, 115mph hits from the east. Hit map
1889 Sept 3rd,105mph winds from the S.E
1893 aug 16th 115mph to the south from the S.E Hit map
1894 Oct 13th,95mph from the SSE
1899 Aug 8th,150mph to the south from the ESE
1916 aug 21st 95mph from the ESE
1916 Oct 10th,110mph from the south
1922 Sept 16th,120mph 43 miles to north of St John
1928 sept 13th a cat 5, 160mph just south from the ESE heavy damage. US president asking for help
1931 Sept 10th, 90mph from the east
1932 sept 26th 110mph from the east.
1960 Hurricane Donna passes just North with 130mph winds killing 107 in the northern Antilles and puerto rico.Sept 5th, from the ESEmore here
1989 Sept 18th,hurricane Hugo to the south with 130mph winds from the S.E but damaged hotels on the south shore,the virgin isle,watergate & island beachcomber were hit hard. NHC wallet
1995 hurricane Marilyn hits sept 16th with 105mph winds from the S.E causing heavy damage 40% homes destroyed & 80% of businesses were destroyed,press 28.35. 1 year later only 2,700 out of 4,000 rooms were available. Newspaper article |av model error | Disaster survey report
1996 hurricane Bertha on july 8th with 85mph winds from the ESE. 1 school collapsed some roof damage from 85mph winds press 29.03 NHC report
1998 Sept 21st,hurricane Georges with 110mph winds just south from the ESE causes 55 boats to sink in the virgin islands & causes wide spread power outages. NHC report
1999 Hurricane Jose weakens to a tropical storm while hitting with 75mph winds from the S.E Oct 21stNHC report
2000 Aug 22nd,Hurricane Debby brushes just north with 75mph winds causing minor damage. NHC report
2017 Hurricane Irma southern eye wall passes directly over with 185mph winds on Sept 6th causing very heavy destruction while moving WNW.Three people dead as of 9/7 There were reports of extensive damage to buildings, and of land entirely stripped of vegetation. Many roads are inaccessible in the USVI, and schools are reported to be destroyed. Relief concert | Best track data | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | NHC report
2019 August 28th Hurricane Dorian passes over the island with 80mph winds while moving N.W., the highest measured storm surge was 1.21 ft above normal tide levels at a NOS gauge at Charlotte Amalie on St. Thomas. One gust reported at 97mph (per NHC report) Radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | NHC report

Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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