(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical
Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all
names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named, not every stat on every
storm description is given. Years within or near core 1871m,1876m,1878ts,1881tsbr,1889,1889tsbr,1891br,1891ts,1893m,1894,1896br,1898br,1898tsbr,1899m,1899br,1899brm,1900tsbr,1901ts,1906br,1908br,1908tsbr,1908br,1910br,1916ts,1916-2, 1922m,1924ts,1924br,1928ts,1928m,1931,1932,1933ts,1933brm,1933tsbr,1938ts,1942tsbr,1947tsbr,1949tsbr,1949ts,1950brm,1956br,1960m,1966brm,1979-2ts,1981ts,1984ts,1989m,1990tsbr,1995brm, 1995,1996,1998,1999,1999brm,2000,2007subtsbr,2008brm,2010brm,2011ts,2014br,2017m,2017brm,2019,2019ts,2020ts,2022tsbr,2023ts,2024ts 71
times in 153yrs end of 2024
Names
from list
above D storms most likely to impact area Dog,Betsy,Donna,Inez,Anna,Frederic,Gert,klaus,Hugo,Klaus(again),Luis,Marilyn,Bertha,Georges,Jose,Lenny,Debby,Chris,Olga,Omar,Irene,Gonzalo,Irma,Maria,Dorian,Karen,Laura,Fiona,Philippe,Ernesto,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=30, 42.25% H=41, 57.75%
Longest gap between storms 12 years 1967-1978
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.15 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours) (21h)once every 7.29 years
Average years between major hurricane hits.(9) once every 17 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 112 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next before the end of 2026
This is just a statistical average & does
not mean the area will be affected by that year
Last affected by 2024 Aug 13th tropical storm Ernesto passes over with 65mph winds while moving N.W.
This areas
hurricane past 1871 Aug 21st,115mph from the ESE, 27 killed in the virgin islands. Hit map 1876 sept 13th, 115mph hits from the east. Hit map 1889 Sept 3rd,105mph winds from the S.E 1893 aug 16th 115mph to the south from the S.E Hit map 1894 Oct 13th,95mph from the SSE 1899 Aug 8th,150mph to the south from the ESE 1916 aug 21st 95mph from the ESE 1916 Oct 10th,110mph from the south 1922 Sept 16th,120mph 43 miles to north of St John 1928 sept 13th a cat 5, 160mph just south from the ESE heavy damage. US president asking for help 1931 Sept 10th, 90mph from the east 1932 sept 26th 110mph from the east. 1960 Hurricane Donna passes just North with 130mph winds killing 107 in the northern Antilles and puerto rico.Sept 5th, from the ESEmore here 1989 Sept 18th,hurricane Hugo to the south with 130mph winds from the S.E but damaged hotels on the
south shore,the virgin isle,watergate & island beachcomber were hit
hard. NHC wallet 1995 hurricane Marilyn hits sept 16th with 105mph winds from the S.E causing heavy damage 40%
homes destroyed & 80% of businesses were destroyed,press 28.35. 1 year later
only 2,700 out of 4,000 rooms were available. Newspaper article |av model error | Disaster survey report 1996 hurricane Bertha on july
8th with 85mph winds from the ESE. 1 school collapsed some roof damage from 85mph winds press
29.03 NHC report 1998 Sept 21st,hurricane Georges with 110mph winds just south from the ESE causes 55 boats to
sink in the virgin islands & causes wide spread power outages. NHC report 1999 Hurricane Jose weakens to a tropical storm while hitting with 75mph winds from the S.E Oct 21stNHC report
2000 Aug 22nd,Hurricane Debby brushes just north with 75mph winds causing minor damage. NHC report
2017 Hurricane Irma southern eye wall passes directly over with 185mph winds on Sept 6th causing very heavy destruction while moving WNW.Three people dead as of 9/7 There were reports of extensive damage to buildings, and of land entirely stripped of vegetation.
Many roads are inaccessible in the USVI, and schools are reported to be destroyed. Relief concert | Best track data | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | NHC report
2019 August 28th Hurricane Dorian passes over the island with 80mph winds while moving N.W., the highest measured storm surge was 1.21 ft
above normal tide levels at a NOS gauge at Charlotte Amalie on St. Thomas. One gust reported at 97mph (per NHC report) Radar animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | NHC report
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