San Juan,Puerto Rico's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)

Years within or near core
46 times in 151 yrs end of 2022

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=23, 50% H=23, 50%

Longest gap between storms
22 years 1957-1978

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 3.28 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.( hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(12h)once every 12.58 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(7)
once every 21.57 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
116 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of 2026
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2022 Hurricane Fiona brushes 61 miles to the S.W at closest approach with 85mph winds slow moving WNW dumping heavy rain.

This areas hurricane past
1876 sept 13th 105mph from the east reports of 19 killed but historians suspect the spanish government withheld death toll & damage info.
1893 Aug 16th,115mph from the S.E Hit map
1899 A severe hurricane comes in from the ESE on Aug 8th. Winds at approach on SE Puerto Rico were est at 140mph. 3,369 deaths reported in Puerto Rico.Closest approach of eye to San Juan was approx 28 miles.
1916 Aug 22nd,press 29.44 ,95mph with 92mph for 10 min Area of destruction was probably 45 or 50 miles wide and time or passing about two and a quarter hours from the ESE
1928 sept 13th, 160mph from the S.E, 135mph recorded for 5 min press 27.50 top gust 165mph 312 killed in puerto rico.Hotel palace & union club roofs blown off thousands of homes flattened. US president asking for help | Newspaper Article
1931 Sept 11th,85mph from the east
1932 Sept 27th,145mph (hurdat) from the east press 27.70 east of san juan gusts to 120mph 255 killed.75,000 homes destroyed Newspaper article | Aftermath video
1956 Hurricane Betsy Aug 12th,90mph from the S.E
1989 Sept 18th, 125mph from the S.E Hurricane Hugo Passes just NE of San Juan with the core passing over Culebra causing extensive damage. NHC Wallet
1998 Sept 21st,hurricane Georges 115mph over entire island just south of san juan from the ESE causes 2 bill dollars damage killing 12,heavier damage was to the east of here.In Puerto rico over 28,000 homes destroyed & 72,000 damaged av model error | radar at landfall
2011 Aug 22nd, Irene becomes a hurricane with 75mph winds while moving WNW just west of here. San Juan clocked a wind gust to 59mph on the 22nd and received 12.25 inches of rain from Aug 21-24. Hurricane force winds remained out over water north of the center. Irene model history
2017 Sept 20th Hurricane Maria hits just south by 14 miles with 130mph winds (SW of here) while moving N.W causing heavy damage. Maria knocked down 80 percent of Puerto Ricoís utility poles and all transmission lines, resulting in the loss of power to essentially all of the islandís 3.4 million residents. Practically all cell phone service was lost and municipal water supplies were knocked out. At of the end of 2017, nearly half of Puerto Ricoís residents were still without power. Death toll revised in 2018 to 2,975 for Puerto Rico to include those killed in the aftermath.Probabilistic tracks | Main models | Relief concert 5 former presidents attend | Our coverage upon approach | NHC Report

Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim many more.............
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