Tampa,Florida's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)

Years within or near core
1990ts,1995bdts,2000tsbr,2001ts,2004-2bdts,2007ts,2013tsbr,2016ts,2017ts,2017,2020tsbr,2021ts,(2022br,2022bdts not in stats)
74 times in 149 yrs end of 2020

Names from list above

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=46, 62.16% H=28, 37.84%

Longest gap between storms
9 years 1951-1959

How often Tampa gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.01 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 40 to 80 subjective miles )
(14h)once every 10.64 years state stats

Average years between major hurricane hits.(4)
once every 37.25 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)

Statistically when Tampa should be affected next
impacted in 2022

Last affected by
2022 November 10th tropical storm Nicole hits from the east coast with 50mph winds while moving N.W.

This areas hurricane past
1878 Sept 10th,105mph from the SSW just west
1886 July 18th,80mph just west from the SSW
1896 Sept 29th,125mph winds to the west from the SSW Hit Map
1921 Oct 25th, 105mph just north Tampa's Tides surged to almost 11 feet above normal when the 'Tarpon Springs' storm slammed ashore. It caused $3 Million in damages, and is blamed for the deaths of at least eight people. Pressure 952mb hit map
1928 Sept 17th,115mph from the ESE passes just east
1935 Sept 4th labor day florida keys hurricane passes approx 40 miles to the west of here with 105mph winds from the south,pressure here reported at entrance to tampa bay 28.94 at 11PM,Tampa reports 86mph winds.
1941 Oct 6th, 105mph to the south from the ESE
1944 oct 19th ,75mph from the SSW ,first weather balloon flown into a hurricane near tampa bay gusts here 100mph just east press 28.55. Forecaster Grady Norton foecasted a hit in Tampa 48 hrs earlier.
1945 Sept 16th,95mph just east from the south
1946 Oct 8th, 85mph (hurdat)from the SSW passes just west.
1950 Easy hit N.W of tampa with 125mph winds Sept 5th from the west, tides 6.5 ft ,Hurricane Easy zig zags near the area going north while just west as a major hurricane ,then turning back south passing just NE of Tampa as a cat 1 with 80mph winds before moving away to the N.E. Closest approach 29 miles to NW with 125mph winds when it was major. hit map
1960 Hurricane Donna sept 10th 115mph coming from the south sustained winds out of north at 70mph with gusts to 83mph,press 29.11. local NWS statement on flooding | more here | NHC Wallet
1968 Oct 18th Hurricane Gladys comes ashore to the north of here with hurricane force wind field briefly affecting Tampa area with 80mph winds. Storm surge of roughly 6 ft in the area with 3 deaths reported. NHC Wallet
2017 Sept 10th Hurricane Irma passes 20 miles to the east while moving north with 90mph winds. USGS surge info | Long range GEFS many days out | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy)

Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............
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