Tobago's history with tropical systems
Current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.(since 1871)
Tobago most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 21st and september 27th


Years within or near core
1877br,1878,1892,1896ts,1933br,1955brm,1961tsbr,1963m,1990ts,1990tsbr,1993ts,2000ts,2004brm,2005ts,2017tsbr,2019ts,2024mbr
17 times in 153 yrs end of 2024





Names from list above B storms most likely to impact area
Janet,Anna,Flora,Arthur,Fran,Bret,Joyce,Ivan,Emily,Bret,Karen,Beryl,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=9, 52.94% H=8, 47.06%
only 20% of all tropical systems affecting Tobago are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
36years 1897-1932

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 9 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
once every 51 years (3h)

Average years between major hurricane hits.(1)
not enough data

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
95 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of 2033

Last affected by
July 1st Hurricane Beryl passes 45 miles to the north while moving WNW with 130mph winds.

This areas hurricane past
1878 Sept 1st a hurricane passes just S.W by 27 miles with 85mph winds from the S.E
1892 Oct 6th a tropical storm becomes a hurricane while passing over with 75mph winds from the east.
1963 Sept 30th Hurricane Flora pummels the area directly with 125mph winds from the ESE.

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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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