Mole Saint Nicolas, Haiti's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Mole Saint Nicolas most likely to be hit by a hurricane between September 28th and October 4th

Years within or near core

1873br
1876bdts
1878-2bdbr
1883br
1887bdts
1894bdbr
1899ts
1900ts
1900tsbr
1905ts
1908br
1909-2
1916bdts
1930bdts
1938bdts
1954
1955br
1963brm
1966br
1975ts
1979
1987tsbr
1998
2000ts
2007ts
2007tsbr
2008tsbr
2010
2012ts
2015ts
2016brm
2017brm
2020bdts

35 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above (E and I storms most likely to impact the area)

Hazel
Hilda
Flora
Inez
Eloise
David
Emily
Georges
Debby
Noel
Olga
Fay
Tomas
Isaac
Erika
Matthew
Irma
Laura

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 18, 51.43%
H = 17, 48.57%

only 14.52% of all tropical systems affecting Mole St Nicolas are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms

15 years 1938-1954

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 4.37 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits. (usually within 40 miles to include small hurricanes)

Once every 25.5 years. (6 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

No data (0 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

84 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

due in 2025

Last affected by

2020 August 23rd TS Laura passes just south with 50 mph winds while moving west-northwest.

This area's hurricane history

1909 August 23rd, 90 mph from the east-southeast
1909 November 12th, 85 mph from the southwest
In 1954 Hurricane Hazel tore up haiti on a Northward movement with 95 mph winds on October 13th. Hurricane Hazel page
1979 September 1st Hurricane David hits with 80 mph after pummeling the Dominican republic. David page.
1998 September 23rd, Hurricane Georges hits with 75 mph winds from the east-southeast killing 100 in Haiti. Sat image
2010 November 5th Hurricane Tomas passes just to the northwest with 80 mph winds while moving north-northeast. Tomas model history

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Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......